{"id":87356,"date":"2026-05-20T08:15:12","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T05:15:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/05\/20\/jeopolitik-riskler-ve-faiz-beklentileri-emtia-ile-paritelerde-baski-olusturuyor"},"modified":"2026-05-20T08:15:12","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T05:15:12","slug":"jeopolitik-riskler-ve-faiz-beklentileri-emtia-ile-paritelerde-baski-olusturuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/05\/20\/jeopolitik-riskler-ve-faiz-beklentileri-emtia-ile-paritelerde-baski-olusturuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Jeopolitik riskler ve faiz beklentileri emtia ile paritelerde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"MsoNormal\">\u0130kon Menkul\u2019\u00fcn analizine g\u00f6re, \u0130ran geriliminin enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilirken, Fed \u00fcyelerinden gelen \u015fahin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar ve yeniden g\u00fcndeme gelen faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalinin \u201cuzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faiz\u201d temas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizlerinin son bir y\u0131l\u0131n zirvelerine yakla\u015fmas\u0131 ve dolar endeksindeki g\u00fc\u00e7lenmenin ons alt\u0131ndaki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedilirken, Trump y\u00f6netiminin \u0130ran konusunda hem diplomasi hem de askeri se\u00e7enek mesajlar\u0131n\u0131 ayn\u0131 anda vermesinin piyasalardaki belirsizli\u011fi y\u00fcksek tuttu\u011fu aktar\u0131ld\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n do\u011frudan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma riskinin k\u0131sa vadede \u00f6telenmesinin g\u00fcvenli liman talebini s\u0131n\u0131rlayan unsurlardan biri oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">Analizde, teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm taraf\u0131nda ons alt\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte 7 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcssel hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (EMA) alt\u0131nda fiyatlanmaya devam etti\u011fi ve k\u0131sa vadeli bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ifade edildi. 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filim g\u00f6stermesinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f momentumunun g\u00fc\u00e7 kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti\u011fi belirtilirken, MACD g\u00f6stergesindeki negatif g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ve RSI\u2019\u0131n 36 seviyesine gerilemesinin sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi kaydedildi. Ons alt\u0131nda 4350 seviyesinin k\u0131sa vadede kritik destek konumunda bulundu\u011fu, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc olas\u0131 tepki hareketlerinde ise ilk etapta 4550 seviyesinin diren\u00e7 olarak izlenece\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">EURUSD paritesinde ise k\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn dolar lehine bask\u0131lanmaya devam etti\u011fi belirtilirken, ABD\u2019de faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalinin yeniden fiyatlanmas\u0131, y\u00fcksek tahvil getirileri ve \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131na ili\u015fkin belirsizliklerin dolar endeksini alt\u0131 haftan\u0131n zirvesine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi. K\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131ndaki zay\u0131flama ve y\u00fcksek faiz temas\u0131n\u0131n hisse senetleri \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratmas\u0131n\u0131n da g\u00fcvenli liman olarak dolara olan talebi destekledi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">Analizde, EURUSD\u2019nin g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda hareket etti\u011fi ve 1,1600 civar\u0131nda 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019ya yak\u0131n fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. 1,1600\u20131,1550 band\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede kritik destek b\u00f6lgesi olarak izlendi\u011fi, bu alan\u0131n alt\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k sa\u011flanmas\u0131 halinde 1,1500 seviyesine do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilme riskinin artabilece\u011fi ifade edildi. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc tepki hareketlerinde ise 1,1650 ve 1,1680 seviyelerinin ilk diren\u00e7 noktalar\u0131 oldu\u011fu, 1,1740 seviyesi a\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k\u00e7a toparlanmalar\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilece\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131. RSI\u2019\u0131n 40 seviyesine gerilemesi ve MACD\u2019nin negatif b\u00f6lgede zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun devam etti\u011fine i\u015faret etti\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">Bak\u0131r fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n hafta ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 2 de\u011fer kaybederek 615 seviyelerine geriledi\u011fi belirtilirken, Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 belirsizliklerin risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatmas\u0131n\u0131n sanayi metalleri \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi. Hisse senetlerindeki sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 ve enerji \u015fokunun merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131 daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131na y\u00f6neltebilece\u011fi beklentisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye duyarl\u0131 emtialar \u00fczerinde etkili oldu\u011fu kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde bak\u0131r\u0131n 650-675 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesinden gelen sat\u0131\u015flarla geri \u00e7ekildi\u011fi ve 615 seviyesine yak\u0131n fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi. 7 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na sark\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli momentumda zay\u0131flamaya i\u015faret etti\u011fi belirtilirken, RSI\u2019\u0131n 42 seviyesine gerilemesi ve MACD\u2019de negatif histogram olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fczeltme e\u011filiminin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131. 615 seviyesinin k\u0131sa vadede ilk destek olarak izlendi\u011fi, bu b\u00f6lgenin alt\u0131nda ise 600 ve 585 seviyelerinin g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fi ifade edildi. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc tepki denemelerinde ise 630 ve 650 seviyelerinin diren\u00e7 konumunda bulundu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">Analizde, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 ve enerji arz\u0131na ili\u015fkin risklerin y\u00fcksek seyretmesi nedeniyle 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutunmaya devam etti\u011fi kaydedildi. Trump\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde bitirebilece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede jeopolitik risk primini bir miktar azaltabilece\u011fi belirtilirken, y\u00fcksek tahvil faizleri ve zay\u0131flayan risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel talep g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011fu ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">Crude oil taraf\u0131nda g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte fiyatlar\u0131n 103\u2013105 dolar band\u0131nda, 7 ve 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019lar\u0131n \u00fczerinde hareket etmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc belirtilirken, bunun k\u0131sa vadede y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filiminin tamamen bozulmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti\u011fi kaydedildi. Ancak 105 dolar direncinin a\u015f\u0131lamamas\u0131 halinde 100 dolar b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilme riskinin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ifade edildi. 100 dolar seviyesinin psikolojik ve teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan kritik destek oldu\u011fu, bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda 95 ve 90 dolar desteklerinin g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fi belirtildi. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlerde ise 105 dolar \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k sa\u011flanmas\u0131 halinde 110 ve 115 dolar seviyelerinin yeniden hedeflenebilece\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131. RSI\u2019\u0131n 58 seviyesinde bulunmas\u0131n\u0131n momentumun pozitif ancak a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinden uzak oldu\u011funu, MACD\u2019nin ise s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 pozitif g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle y\u00fckseli\u015fin temkinli s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<p> <strong><\/strong><br \/>\nEKONOM\u0130 GAZETES\u0130 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130stanbul, 20 May\u0131s (Hibya)- \u0130kon Menkul\u2019\u00fcn yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 sabah teknik analizine g\u00f6re, Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 jeopolitik riskler g\u00fcvenli liman talebini desteklemeye devam etse de y\u00fckselen ABD tahvil faizleri ve g\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar, ons alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":87357,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow07ekDA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12,4,1,9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-87356","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-spor","category-dunya","category-ekonomi","category-manset"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87356","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=87356"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87356\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/87357"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=87356"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=87356"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=87356"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}