{"id":7470,"date":"2025-11-18T09:30:05","date_gmt":"2025-11-18T06:30:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2025\/11\/18\/gedik-yatirim-aralik-vadeli-endeks-sozlesmesinde-toparlanma-cabasi-devam-ediyor"},"modified":"2025-11-18T09:30:05","modified_gmt":"2025-11-18T06:30:05","slug":"gedik-yatirim-aralik-vadeli-endeks-sozlesmesinde-toparlanma-cabasi-devam-ediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2025\/11\/18\/gedik-yatirim-aralik-vadeli-endeks-sozlesmesinde-toparlanma-cabasi-devam-ediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m: Aral\u0131k Vadeli Endeks S\u00f6zle\u015fmesinde toparlanma \u00e7abas\u0131 devam ediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m&#039;\u0131n analizine g\u00f6re, ge\u00e7en hafta sat\u0131\u015f a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 bir seyir izleyen s\u00f6zle\u015fmede yeni haftada toparlanma e\u011filiminin etkili oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Ak\u015fam seans kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 ise 11.958,00 puandan ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00fcresel piyasalarda, ABD borsalar\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle tamamlarken, ABD vadelileri bu sabah hafif sat\u0131c\u0131l\u0131 bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergiliyor. Asya piyasalar\u0131nda k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 bir tablo h\u00e2kim olurken, Avrupa vadelileri ve CFD endeksleri de sat\u0131c\u0131l\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015flara i\u015faret ediyor. Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m, Aral\u0131k vadeli endeks s\u00f6zle\u015fmesinin g\u00fcne yatay bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 yapmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde, s\u00f6zle\u015fme 500 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcssel ortalaman\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi 11.948 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. 12.000 psikolojik e\u015fi\u011finin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda toparlanma \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131n\u0131n beklenebilece\u011fi belirtilirken, 12.075 \u2013 12.140 puan aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi olarak takip ediliyor. Bu b\u00f6lgenin \u00fczerinde ise 12.180 \u2013 12.245 ve 12.300 seviyelerinin diren\u00e7 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fi ifade ediliyor. 11.948 seviyesinin alt\u0131na inilmesi halinde ise 11.900 \u2013 11.870 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilk destek b\u00f6lgesi olarak, bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda 11.840 \u2013 11.790 \u2013 11.725 ve 11.680 puanlara do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmelerin g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Kas\u0131m vadeli Dolar\/TL s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi ise d\u00fcn 42,6790 \u2013 42,7280 seviyeleri aras\u0131nda dalgalanarak g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 0,14 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 42,6830 uzla\u015fma fiyat\u0131ndan tamamlad\u0131. Spot kurda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck volatiliteyle yataya yak\u0131n bir seyir izlendi. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de merkezi y\u00f6netim b\u00fct\u00e7esi Ekim ay\u0131nda 223,2 milyar TL a\u00e7\u0131k verirken, Ocak\u2013Ekim d\u00f6neminde b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 1,44 trilyon TL\u2019ye ula\u015ft\u0131. 12 ayl\u0131k birikimli a\u00e7\u0131k ise 2,25 trilyon TL\u2019den 2,29 trilyon TL\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. Verinin piyasalar \u00fczerinde belirgin bir etkisi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>Bug\u00fcn yurt i\u00e7inde veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 sakin seyrederken, ABD taraf\u0131nda sanayi \u00fcretimi ve fabrika sipari\u015fleri verileri takip edilecek. Hafta genelinde ise ABD\u2019de FOMC toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131, tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam ve \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI verilerinin piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda olaca\u011f\u0131 vurguland\u0131. Bu sabah itibar\u0131yla Fed\u2019in aral\u0131k ay\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 42,30 seviyesinde fiyatlan\u0131yor. Dolar\/TL spot kur 08.00 itibar\u0131yla 42,32 seviyelerinde yataya yak\u0131n seyrediyor. Dolar endeksi ise 99,46 seviyesinde bulunuyor. Geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke para birimleri dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergiliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Aral\u0131k vadeli ons alt\u0131n s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi d\u00fcn\u00fc 4069,60 \u2013 4133,90 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ge\u00e7irerek y\u00fczde 0,27 kay\u0131pla 4106,70 dolar uzla\u015fma fiyat\u0131ndan kapatt\u0131. Spot piyasada ons alt\u0131n\u0131n bu sabah 08.00 itibar\u0131yla 4012 dolar seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc belirtildi. Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131nda geri \u00e7ekilme e\u011filimi izlenirken, Fed\u2019in faiz indirimi beklentilerinin ge\u00e7en haftaya k\u0131yasla zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m, s\u00f6zle\u015fme i\u00e7in bug\u00fcn 4057 \u2013 4078 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 n\u00f6tr b\u00f6lge olarak de\u011ferlendirirken, geri \u00e7ekilmelerde 4057 dolar seviyesi alt\u0131nda 4097 dolar stop seviyesi ile 3975 dolar hedefinin takip edilebilece\u011fini belirtiyor. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlerde ise 4078 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde 4037 dolar stop seviyesiyle 4159 dolar seviyesinin izlenebilece\u011fi ifade ediliyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n olas\u0131 oynakl\u0131klara kar\u015f\u0131 aktif k\u00e2r al\/zarar durdur seviyeleri belirlemeleri gerekti\u011fi vurgulan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Kas\u0131m vadeli KOZAL pay s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi 33,10 \u2013 36,38 TL aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda hareket ederek d\u00fcn g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 6,2 oran\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015fle 36,07\u00a0TL uzla\u015fma fiyat\u0131ndan tamamlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilen Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m&#039;\u0131n analizi \u015fu \u015fekilde:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Finansal sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan\u00a0ge\u00e7en haftan\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015flerin kaydedildi\u011fi\u00a0KOZAL cephesinde d\u00fcn de dalgal\u0131 seyirle birlikte y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filiminin\u00a0etkisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir fiyatlama takip edildi. Zirvelerin yenilendi\u011fi\u00a0KOZAL s\u00f6zle\u015fmesinde 36,38 \u2013 36,50 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli ilk diren\u00e7\u00a0b\u00f6lgesi olup, bu b\u00f6lge \u00fczerinde 36,80 \u2013 37,30 \u2013 38,50 ve 40,00\u00a0pivot seviyeleri diren\u00e7 konumunda bulunmaktad\u0131r. S\u00f6zle\u015fmede son\u00a0g\u00fcnlerdeki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan olas\u0131 d\u00fczeltmelerin de sert\u00a0ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilme riskine kar\u015f\u0131 dikkatli olunmal\u0131d\u0131r. Olas\u0131 kar\u00a0sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda 35,65 \u2013 35,30 ve 35,00 seviyeleri k\u0131sa vadeli ilk destek\u00a0noktalar\u0131d\u0131r. Bu seviyeler alt\u0131nda 34,40 \u2013 33,50 \u2013 33,00 ve 200\u00a0g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcssel ortalama (32,03) destek olarak takip edilebilir. 200\u00a0g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama alt\u0131ndaki kapan\u0131\u015flarda d\u00fczeltme e\u011filimi h\u0131z\u00a0kazanabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Haftan\u0131n ilk i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fc bankac\u0131l\u0131k endeksinde di\u011fer sekt\u00f6rlere g\u00f6re al\u0131m\u0131n zay\u0131f kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 takip edilirken, Kas\u0131m vadeli YKBNK s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 32,17 TL \u2013 33,09 TL seviyeleri aras\u0131nda dalgalanarak 32,49 TL uzla\u015fma fiyat\u0131ndan %0,3\u2019l\u00fck kazan\u00e7la g\u00fcn\u00fc tamamlad\u0131. Dar bantta fiyatlaman\u0131n ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmede ise 7 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 32,82 TL \u00fczeri tutunma kritik olacakt\u0131r. Bu ko\u015fulun sa\u011flanmas\u0131 ile yukar\u0131da 33,33 TL &#8211; 33,65 TL ve 34,00 TL s\u00f6z konusu olacak diren\u00e7 noktalar\u0131d\u0131r. Geri \u00e7ekilmelerde ise 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n bulundu\u011fu 32,10 TL izlenecek ilk destek seviyesidir. Geri \u00e7ekilmenin devam\u0131nda 31,60 TL \u2013 31,30 TL ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n bulundu\u011fu 31,00 TL seviyeleri takip edilecek destek noktalar\u0131d\u0131r. Gerek sekt\u00f6r gerek piyasa genelindeki volatilite nedeniyle s\u00f6zle\u015fmede al\u0131nacak pozisyonlarda temkinli olunmas\u0131 aktif bir stop-loss stratejisine ba\u011fl\u0131 kal\u0131nmas\u0131 faydal\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Son d\u00f6nemde d\u00fczeltmenin ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 ASELS pay ve pay vadelilerinde haftan\u0131n ilk i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fc pozitif seyrin etkili oldu\u011fu fiyatlama takip edildi. Kas\u0131m vadeli ASELS s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 178,00 TL \u2013 191,20 TL seviyeleri aras\u0131nda dalgalanarak 190,55 TL uzla\u015fma fiyat\u0131ndan %7,3\u2019l\u00fck kazan\u00e7la g\u00fcn\u00fc tamamlad\u0131. Orta vadeli ortalamalar\u0131n bulundu\u011fu b\u00f6lgede fiyatlaman\u0131n ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmede 190,00 TL kritik \u00f6neme sahip bulunmaktad\u0131r. Bu b\u00f6lge \u00fczerinde 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 192,00 TL \u2013 195,96 TL ve 197,22 TL s\u0131ras\u0131yla izlenecek diren\u00e7 seviyeleridir. Son \u00fc\u00e7 haftad\u0131r ya\u015fanan bask\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan tepkinin geldi\u011fi s\u00f6zle\u015fmede yeniden 185,60 TL alt\u0131na fiyatlaman\u0131n sarkmas\u0131 durumunda sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 art\u0131\u015f kaydedece\u011finden 183,75 TL &#8211; 180,45 TL ve 178,00 TL takip edilecek destek seviyeleridir. Piyasa genelindeki volatilite nedeniyle s\u00f6zle\u015fmede al\u0131nacak pozisyonlarda temkinli olunmas\u0131 aktif bir stop-loss stratejisine ba\u011fl\u0131 kal\u0131nmas\u0131 faydal\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p> <strong><\/strong><br \/>\nSANAY\u0130 HABER AJANSI <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130stanbul, 18 Kas\u0131m (Hibya) &#8211; Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m, Aral\u0131k vadeli endeks s\u00f6zle\u015fmesinin, d\u00fcn 11.870,00 \u2013 12.132,00 puan aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda hareket ederek g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 0,96 y\u00fckseli\u015fle 11.984,00 uzla\u015fma fiyat\u0131ndan tamamlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7471,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow07ekDA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12,4,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7470","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-spor","category-dunya","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7470","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7470"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7470\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7471"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7470"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7470"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7470"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}