\u0130kon Menkul’\u00fcn de\u011ferlendirmesine g\u00f6re, Crude oil taraf\u0131nda sava\u015f ortam\u0131 \u00f6zellikle bo\u011faz ge\u00e7i\u015fleri ve sevkiyat hatlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik risklerle piyasalarda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gibi kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktalar\u0131nda ya\u015fanabilecek aksama ihtimali arz \u015fokunun b\u00fcy\u00fcyebilece\u011fi endi\u015fesini canl\u0131 tuttu. Rus petrol\u00fcne y\u00f6nelik k\u0131smi muafiyet veya esneklik ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n teoride piyasaya ek varil ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flayarak fiyatlar\u0131 bir miktar dengeleyebilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendirildi. Ancak sava\u015f riski ve lojistik belirsizliklerin a\u011f\u0131r basmas\u0131 nedeniyle bu etkinin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilece\u011fi ifade edildi. Piyasa Rus petrol\u00fcne y\u00f6nelik muafiyet haberleri ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nabilece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik a\u00e7\u0131klamalarla bir miktar geri \u00e7ekildi ancak hafta sonu somut ad\u0131mlar gelmemesi halinde petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n yeni haftaya g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ba\u015flayabilece\u011fi belirtildi. Teknik tarafta fiyat\u0131n 95 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131, yakla\u015f\u0131k 93,5 dolar seviyelerinde bulundu\u011fu ve haftay\u0131 90 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kapatmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
Ons alt\u0131n taraf\u0131nda ise g\u00fcvenli liman talebi ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve faiz bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n dengelendi\u011fi bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Alt\u0131n\u0131n haftal\u0131k bazda ikinci kayb\u0131na haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131, petrol\u00fcn 100 dolar \u00fczerindeki seyri nedeniyle enflasyon endi\u015felerinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve bunun Fed\u2019den faiz indirimi beklentilerini zay\u0131flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. Dolar\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n zirvesine yakla\u015fmas\u0131 ve ABD tahvil faizlerinin y\u00fckselmesi de alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz hatt\u0131na ili\u015fkin risklerin alt\u0131na g\u00fcvenli liman deste\u011fi vermeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ifade edildi. Bu nedenle 5.100 seviyesinin kritik bir e\u015fik haline geldi\u011fi, fiyat\u0131n bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde kalmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve k\u0131sa vadede \u00f6nemli bir destek olu\u015fturdu\u011fu de\u011ferlendirildi. 5.100 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n korunmas\u0131 halinde 5.250 direncinin yeniden test edilebilece\u011fi, bu seviyenin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda ise 5.450 seviyesinin g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fi ifade edildi. Olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde ise 5.000 seviyesinin ilk \u00f6nemli destek, ard\u0131ndan 4.850 seviyesinin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Ons g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f taraf\u0131nda ise g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve zay\u0131flayan faiz indirimi beklentileri nedeniyle temkinli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc aktar\u0131ld\u0131. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek seyri enflasyon endi\u015felerini canl\u0131 tuttu ve piyasalar\u0131n Fed\u2019in faiz indirimleri konusunda daha ihtiyatl\u0131 fiyatlama yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. Bu durumun dolar bazl\u0131 metallerde y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi. G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ge\u00e7en haftaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan bu hafta y\u00f6n bulmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve haftaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviyelere yak\u0131n bir kapan\u0131\u015fa haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. Hafta i\u00e7inde yukar\u0131 ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc sert hareketler g\u00f6r\u00fclse de fiyat\u0131n yeniden denge buldu\u011fu ifade edildi. Teknik tarafta fiyat\u0131n 85 dolar \u00e7evresinde yatay bir seyir izledi\u011fi, k\u0131sa vadeli ortalamalar\u0131n birbirine yakla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret etti\u011fi ve RSI g\u00f6stergesinin n\u00f6tr b\u00f6lgede bulundu\u011fu kaydedildi. MACD taraf\u0131nda da belirgin bir trend sinyali g\u00f6r\u00fclmedi\u011fi ve piyasada y\u00f6n konusunda belirsizli\u011fin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
USD\/JPY paritesinde ise yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filim devam etti. Son bir ayda yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 4,2\u2019lik y\u00fckseli\u015fin dolar\u0131n belirgin \u015fekilde g\u00fc\u00e7 kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi belirtildi. Bu hareketin iki ana unsurdan beslendi\u011fi ifade edildi. Bunlardan ilkinin Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman talebini dolara y\u00f6nlendirmesi oldu\u011fu, ikincisinin ise petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin enflasyon riskini art\u0131rarak Fed\u2019in daha uzun s\u00fcre s\u0131k\u0131 politika uygulayabilece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesi oldu\u011fu aktar\u0131ld\u0131. Dolar ikinci haftal\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015fine y\u00f6neldi ve yen 20 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi. Japonya\u2019n\u0131n enerji ithalat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 yap\u0131s\u0131 nedeniyle y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n yen \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. Bununla birlikte petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n Japonya\u2019da enflasyonu y\u00fckseltebilece\u011fi ve olas\u0131 bir Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n pariteyi dengeleyebilece\u011fi ifade edildi. Teknik tarafta paritenin 159 seviyesinin \u00fczerine yerle\u015fti\u011fi ve 160 psikolojik e\u015fi\u011fine yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. Fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa ve orta vadeli ortalamalar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret etti\u011fi ve momentum g\u00f6stergelerinin de yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimi destekledi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131. Paritenin 160 seviyesini a\u015f\u0131p a\u015famayaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda ise merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faiz beklentilerinin belirleyici olaca\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirildi.<\/p>\n
<\/strong> \u0130stanbul, 13 Mart (Hibya) – \u0130kon Menkul, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki arz risklerinin, petrol piyasas\u0131nda dalgalanmay\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131rken, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve faiz beklentilerinin alt\u0131n ve g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011funu duyurdu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":61167,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow07ekDA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12,4,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-61166","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-spor","category-dunya","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61166","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61166"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61166\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/61167"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61166"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61166"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61166"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\nEKONOM\u0130 GAZETES\u0130 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"