{"id":60842,"date":"2026-03-13T11:15:05","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T08:15:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/03\/13\/jeopolitik-riskler-faiz-indirimi-ihtimalini-zorlastirabilir"},"modified":"2026-03-13T11:15:05","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T08:15:05","slug":"jeopolitik-riskler-faiz-indirimi-ihtimalini-zorlastirabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/03\/13\/jeopolitik-riskler-faiz-indirimi-ihtimalini-zorlastirabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"Jeopolitik riskler faiz indirimi ihtimalini zorla\u015ft\u0131rabilir"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Alnus Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131n de\u011ferlendirmesine g\u00f6re, Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Anketi\u2019nde Mart ay\u0131 i\u00e7in beklenen y\u00fczde 2,18\u2019lik enflasyon oran\u0131, kurumun y\u00fczde 2,27\u2019lik tahmininin k\u0131smen alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Y\u0131l sonu i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 25,38\u2019e y\u00fckseltilen T\u00dcFE beklentisi de y\u00fczde 25,58\u2019lik \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn alt\u0131nda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n<p>Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da s\u00fcregelen jeopolitik riskler ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden enflasyon oranlar\u0131nda olu\u015fmas\u0131 beklenen bozulman\u0131n, Nisan ay\u0131ndaki Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz indirimi ihtimalini zorla\u015ft\u0131rabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor. Haziran ay\u0131ndaki toplant\u0131da ise ko\u015fullar\u0131n uygun olmas\u0131 halinde 100 ila 150 baz puanl\u0131k bir faiz indirimi beklentisi bulunuyor.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u0131l sonu politika faizi beklentisi y\u00fczde 31,00 olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, bu oran ankette yer alan y\u00fczde 30,63\u2019l\u00fck tahminin bir miktar \u00fczerinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n<p>2026 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in cari denge beklentisi 30,5 milyar dolar a\u00e7\u0131k, dolar\/TL beklentisi ise 51,00 TL olarak tahmin ediliyor. Cari y\u0131l i\u00e7in GSY\u0130H b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin ise y\u00fczde 3,9 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p> <strong><\/strong><br \/>\nEKONOM\u0130 GAZETES\u0130 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130stanbul, 13 Mart (Hibya) &#8211; Alnus Yat\u0131r\u0131m, Mart ay\u0131 enflasyonunun y\u00fczde 2,27 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesini beklerken y\u0131l sonu T\u00dcFE tahminini ise y\u00fczde 25,58 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":60843,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow07ekDA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12,4,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-60842","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-spor","category-dunya","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60842","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=60842"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60842\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/60843"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=60842"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=60842"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=60842"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}