{"id":60800,"date":"2026-03-13T10:30:03","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T07:30:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/03\/13\/piyasa-katilimcilarinin-yil-sonu-enflasyon-beklentisi-yuzde-2538e-yukseldi"},"modified":"2026-03-13T10:30:03","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T07:30:03","slug":"piyasa-katilimcilarinin-yil-sonu-enflasyon-beklentisi-yuzde-2538e-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/03\/13\/piyasa-katilimcilarinin-yil-sonu-enflasyon-beklentisi-yuzde-2538e-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l sonu enflasyon beklentisi y\u00fczde 25,38’e y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) verilerine g\u00f6re, Mart ay\u0131 Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Anketi, reel sekt\u00f6r ve finansal sekt\u00f6r temsilcilerinden olu\u015fan 67 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yan\u0131tlanm\u0131\u015f ve sonu\u00e7lar kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yan\u0131tlar\u0131 toplula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131larak de\u011ferlendirildi.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 24,11 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 25,38’e y\u00fckseldi. 12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 22,10 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 22,17’ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 17,11 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 17,30’e y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

Mart ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 12 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 14,79 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 17,00 \u2013 19,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 39,21 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 20,00 \u2013 22,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 35,66 olas\u0131l\u0131kla ise y\u00fczde 23,00 – 25,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u00a0Ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re ise, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 11,29\u2019unun beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 17,00 \u2013 19,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 46,77\u2019sinin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 20,00 \u2013 22,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 33,87\u2019sinin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 23,00 \u2013 25,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zleniyor.<\/p>\n

Mart ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 24 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 13,17 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 13,00 \u2013 15,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 46,12 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 16,00 \u2013 18,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 17,11 olas\u0131l\u0131kla ise y\u00fczde 19,00 \u2013 21,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re ise, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 14,55\u2018inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 13,00 – 15,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 54,55\u2018inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 16,00 \u2013 18,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 18,18\u2018inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 19,00 \u2013 21,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zleniyor.<\/p>\n

Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n B\u0130ST Repo ve Ters-Repo Pazar\u0131\u2019nda olu\u015fan cari ay sonu gecelik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 36,95 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 40,00’a y\u00fckseldi. Mart ay\u0131 Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu toplant\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in TCMB politika faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 37,00 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu d\u00f6viz kuru (ABD Dolar\u0131\/TL) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 51,09 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 50,97 TL’ye d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. 12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 52,39 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 52,70 TL’ye y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n GSYH 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,9 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,8’e d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. GSYH 2027 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde oldu\u011fu gibi bu anket d\u00f6neminde de y\u00fczde 4,3 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

<\/strong>
\nEKONOM\u0130 GAZETES\u0130 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130stanbul, 13 Mart (Hibya) – Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi y\u00fczde 24,11 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 25,38’e y\u00fckseldi. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":60801,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow07ekDA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12,4,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-60800","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-spor","category-dunya","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60800","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=60800"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60800\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/60801"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=60800"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=60800"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=60800"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}