ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Truth Social'da yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 payla\u015f\u0131mda, \u201cAmerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri, Venezuela ve lideri Nicolas Maduro'ya kar\u015f\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 bir sald\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fczenledi ve Maduro, e\u015fi ile birlikte yakalanarak \u00fclke d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u201d dedi. Trump y\u00f6netimi bir s\u00fcredir, deniz ablukas\u0131 yoluyla \u00fclkenin petrol ihracat\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 kampanyas\u0131n\u0131 yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u0130svi\u00e7reli banka UBS'nin stratejisti Giovanni Staunovo, bir tahminde bulunmak i\u00e7in hen\u00fcz \u00e7ok erken oldu\u011funu ancak ABD'nin petrol tankeri ablukas\u0131 sonras\u0131nda Venezuela'n\u0131n ihracat\u0131 ve \u00fcretiminin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda oldu\u011funu ve bu e\u011filimin devam etme riski oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Singapur merkezli Vanda Insights'\u0131n CEO'su Vandana Hari, petrol piyasas\u0131 i\u00e7in acil etkilerin minimum d\u00fczeyde oldu\u011funu, \u201cVenezuela risk priminde bir ba\u015fka art\u0131\u015ftan \u00f6teye gitmedi\u011fini\u201d s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Venezuela h\u00fck\u00fcmeti yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n amac\u0131n\u0131n ABD'nin \u00fclkenin petrol ve madenlerini ele ge\u00e7irmek oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Ayr\u0131ca ABD'nin kaynaklar\u0131 ele ge\u00e7irme konusunda \u201cba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d da ekledi. ABD, Venezuela'y\u0131 uyu\u015fturucu ka\u00e7ak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na yard\u0131m etmekle su\u00e7lad\u0131.<\/p>\n
The National'a konu\u015fan piyasa istihbarat \u015firketi Energy Aspects'in analisti Amrita Sen, The National gazetesine verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, \u201cVenezuela'daki sald\u0131r\u0131lar do\u011frudan petrol tesislerini hedef alm\u0131yor. Ancak gemilere y\u00f6nelik \u00f6nceki sald\u0131r\u0131lar ve son yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\/abluka, \u00fcretimin zaten yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 25 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015fmesine neden oluyordu\u201d dedi ve ekledi:<\/p>\n
\u201cPetrol fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki etkisi, beklenen b\u00fcy\u00fck stok art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 nedeniyle ciddi olmayacak, ancak Venezuela, Rusya ve Kazakistan'da planlanmam\u0131\u015f kesintiler art\u0131yor ve bu da stok art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 azaltacak.\u201d<\/p>\n
Trump, Venezuela petrol\u00fcne \u201cambargo\u201d uygulayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131, yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 geni\u015fletti ve ABD'nin Pasifik Okyanusu ve Karayip Denizi'nde uyu\u015fturucu ka\u00e7ak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia etti\u011fi gemilere iki d\u00fczineden fazla sald\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fczenledi.<\/p>\n
Petrol fiyatlar\u0131, alt\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n en k\u00f6t\u00fc y\u0131ll\u0131k performans\u0131n\u0131 kaydettikten sonra, 2026'n\u0131n ilk i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fc olan Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7ti.<\/p>\n
Rystad Energy'nin analizine g\u00f6re, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck kan\u0131tlanm\u0131\u015f petrol rezervlerine sahip Venezuela, g\u00fcnde 1,1 milyon varil ham petrol \u00fcretiyor ve bunun \u00e7o\u011fu \u00c7in ve Hindistan'a gidiyor. K\u00fcresel ticaret ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan hacim k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck olsa da (yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 1), \u00fcretimin y\u00fczde 67'sinden fazlas\u0131 a\u011f\u0131r petrol oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in kalitesi benzersiz.<\/p>\n
Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir k\u00fcresel emtia ticareti istihbarat \u015firketi olan Kpler'in OPEC+ ve Orta Do\u011fu ara\u015ft\u0131rma ba\u015fkan\u0131 Amena Bakr, piyasan\u0131n jeopolitik risklerin etkisini bir dereceye kadar hafife ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bu nedenle fiyatlarda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir prim olu\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Kpler, “Ancak bunun, piyasan\u0131n arz fazlas\u0131 oldu\u011fu bir d\u00f6nemde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini ve bu nedenle baz\u0131 arz kay\u0131plar\u0131na ili\u015fkin endi\u015felerin \u00e7ok daha az oldu\u011funu belirtmek \u00f6nemli, dedi ve ekledi:<\/p>\n
\u201cSon birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde petrol fiyatlar\u0131, Venezuela'daki jeopolitik risk ve Ukrayna'n\u0131n Rus tesislerine y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 nedeniyle 61 dolara y\u00fckseldi… Jeopolitik risk y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rsa, piyasalar a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda fiyatlarda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f bekliyorum. Venezuela'daki kesintilerle ilgili sorun, ham petrol\u00fcn kalitesiyle ilgili. A\u011f\u0131r Venez\u00fcella ham petrol\u00fc, daha hafif kalitelerle kolayca de\u011fi\u015ftirilemez, ikameler genellikle daha pahal\u0131d\u0131r ve rafine \u00fcr\u00fcn fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 olu\u015fturabilir. Genel olarak, piyasalar \u00fczerindeki etkisi \u015fimdilik s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r.”<\/p>\n
Century Financial'\u0131n ba\u015f yat\u0131r\u0131m sorumlusu Vijay Valecha, t\u00fcccarlar\u0131n WTI ve Brent fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n Pazar gecesi a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 bekledikleri i\u00e7in enerji piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n daha dalgal\u0131 hale gelebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ve ekledi:<\/p>\n
\u201cTarihsel olarak, petrol fiyatlar\u0131 jeopolitik belirsizlik d\u00f6nemlerinde genellikle bir fark g\u00f6sterme e\u011filimindedir. \u00d6rne\u011fin, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ABD'nin \u0130ran'\u0131n yeralt\u0131 n\u00fckleer tesislerine yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda, petrol fiyatlar\u0131 piyasan\u0131n ilk a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f seans\u0131nda y\u00fczde 7'ye varan bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Benzer hareketler ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6ng\u00fclerde de ya\u015fand\u0131.\u201d<\/p>\n
Valecha, ger\u00e7ek talep ve arz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Venezuela'n\u0131n k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131na katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok az oldu\u011funu belirtti. Toplam 100 milyon varil\/g\u00fcnl\u00fck enerji arz\u0131n\u0131n 0,7 ila 1 milyon varil\/g\u00fcnl\u00fck en k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryo bozulmas\u0131 \u00e7ok k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir rakamd\u0131r, dedi.<\/p>\n
Ancak, enerji piyasas\u0131 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck korku, krizin daha da t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgedeki daha fazla oyuncunun s\u00fcrece dahil olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Venezuela i\u00e7in \u0130ran, ana ticaret ortaklar\u0131ndan ve do\u011fal m\u00fcttefiklerinden biridir. Valecha, somut rakamlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki Orta Do\u011fu jeopolitik krizi s\u0131ras\u0131nda piyasalar taraf\u0131ndan indirgenen ortalama risk priminin varil ba\u015f\u0131na 10 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n
Qamar Energy'nin CEO'su ve The Myth of the Oil Crisis\u00a0(Petrol Krizi Efsanesi) kitab\u0131n\u0131n yazar\u0131 Robin Mills, bu haberin ard\u0131ndan petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta bir s\u0131\u00e7rama olabilece\u011fini, ancak bu geli\u015fmenin petrol i\u00e7in olumsuz oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yledi ve ekledi:<\/p>\n
\u201cVenezuela'n\u0131n ihracat\u0131ndaki bir miktar kay\u0131p \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir fark yaratmayacakt\u0131r, ancak yeni bir lider yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n ask\u0131ya al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 m\u00fczakere ederse ve hatta birka\u00e7 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde d\u0131\u015f yat\u0131r\u0131ma a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131rsa, \u00fclkenin ihracat\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir alan olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
<\/strong> \u0130stanbul, 3 Ocak (Hibya) – Sekt\u00f6r uzmanlar\u0131na g\u00f6re, ABD’nin Cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Venezuela’ya d\u00fczenledi\u011fi sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n petrol fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir etkisi olacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":28792,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow07ekDA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28791","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-spor","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28791","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28791"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28791\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28792"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28791"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28791"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28791"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\nEKONOM\u0130 GAZETES\u0130 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"