{"id":154140,"date":"2026-09-22T09:30:15","date_gmt":"2026-09-22T06:30:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/09\/22\/petrol-ve-gaz-sektorunde-orta-vadeli-risk-getiri-dengesi-daha-dengeli"},"modified":"2026-09-22T09:30:15","modified_gmt":"2026-09-22T06:30:15","slug":"petrol-ve-gaz-sektorunde-orta-vadeli-risk-getiri-dengesi-daha-dengeli","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/09\/22\/petrol-ve-gaz-sektorunde-orta-vadeli-risk-getiri-dengesi-daha-dengeli\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol ve gaz sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde orta vadeli risk getiri dengesi daha dengeli"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m, Petrol ve Gaz Sekt\u00f6r G\u00fcncelleme Raporu&#8217;nda, k\u0131sa vadede g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc rafinaj g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn korundu\u011funu ancak orta vadede risk\/getiri dengesinin daha dengeli hale geldi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda, y\u00fcksek rafineri kompleksitesi, orta distilat a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcn yap\u0131s\u0131 ve esnek ham petrol tedariki nedeniyle T\u00fcpra\u015f&#8217;\u0131n temel a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi. Bununla birlikte T\u00fcpra\u015f hisselerinin son \u00fc\u00e7 ayda yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 88 de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131 sonras\u0131nda mevcut de\u011ferlemeye g\u00f6re y\u00fckseli\u015f potansiyelinin darald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m, T\u00fcpra\u015f i\u00e7in hedef fiyat\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 15 art\u0131rarak 501 TL&#8217;ye y\u00fckseltirken, tavsiyesini &#8220;Endeks \u00dczeri Getiri&#8221;den &#8220;Endekse Paralel Getiri&#8221;ye indirdi. Raporda, hisse i\u00e7in yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 21 y\u00fckseli\u015f potansiyeli hesapland\u0131. Kurum, 2026 net rafineri marj\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 da varil ba\u015f\u0131na 10 dolardan 15 dolara y\u00fckseltti.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda, T\u00fcpra\u015f&#8217;\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir k\u00e2r performans\u0131 g\u00f6stermesinin beklendi\u011fi, ancak yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131n\u0131n 2026&#8217;daki y\u00fcksek k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131ktan rafineri marjlar\u0131n\u0131n 2027&#8217;de ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilece\u011fine kayd\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. Jeopolitik kesintilerin azalmas\u0131 ve rafineri kullan\u0131labilirli\u011finin artmas\u0131yla marjlarda normalle\u015fme beklendi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<p>Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m, Petkim i\u00e7in &#8220;Endekse Paralel Getiri&#8221; tavsiyesini korurken hedef fiyat\u0131n\u0131 26,13 TL olarak s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Bu hedef fiyat\u0131n mevcut seviyeye g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 23 y\u00fckseli\u015f potansiyeline i\u015faret etti\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda, Petkim Spread&#8217;in ikinci \u00e7eyrekte 547 dolar\/tona y\u00fckselmesinin ard\u0131ndan son g\u00f6zlemde yakla\u015f\u0131k 270 dolar\/tona geriledi\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekildi. Kurum, bu geli\u015fmenin ikinci \u00e7eyrekteki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc marjlar\u0131n yap\u0131sal bir toparlanmadan ziyade d\u00f6ng\u00fcsel bir iyile\u015fme olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret etti\u011fini de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00fcresel petrokimya sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki kapasite fazlas\u0131, zay\u0131f nihai talep ve Petkim&#8217;in y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7lulu\u011funun de\u011ferleme a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan temel bask\u0131 unsurlar\u0131 olmaya devam etti\u011fi ifade edildi. STAR Rafinerisi entegrasyonu ve Petkim Master Plan\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n ise uzun vadeli potansiyel sundu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>Aygaz i\u00e7in de &#8220;Endekse Paralel Getiri&#8221; tavsiyesini koruyan Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m, hedef fiyat\u0131n\u0131 318,50 TL&#8217;den 375,12 TL&#8217;ye y\u00fckseltti. Kurum, hisse i\u00e7in yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 20 y\u00fckseli\u015f potansiyeli hesaplad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Rapora g\u00f6re Aygaz&#8217;\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyrekte FAV\u00d6K&#8217;\u00fc y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 42 artarak 1,15 milyar TL&#8217;ye y\u00fckseldi. \u015eirketin toplam yurt i\u00e7i LPG pazar pay\u0131n\u0131n 2026&#8217;n\u0131n ilk be\u015f ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 27,3&#8217;e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilirken, United Aygaz&#8217;\u0131n Banglade\u015f&#8217;teki sat\u0131\u015f hacminin 2026&#8217;n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 59 artarak 145 bin tona ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m, T\u00fcrkiye LPG pazar\u0131n\u0131n olgun yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme potansiyelini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ancak Aygaz&#8217;\u0131n pazar pay\u0131 kazan\u0131mlar\u0131, uluslararas\u0131 ticaret faaliyetleri ve Banglade\u015f operasyonlar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Kurumun raporunda 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in T\u00fcpra\u015f&#8217;ta 501 TL, Aygaz&#8217;da 375,12 TL ve Petkim&#8217;de 26,13 TL hedef fiyat \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, \u00fc\u00e7 \u015firket i\u00e7in de &#8220;Endekse Paralel Getiri&#8221; tavsiyesi yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p> <strong><\/strong><br \/>\nEKONOM\u0130 GAZETES\u0130 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130stanbul, 22 Eyl\u00fcl  (Hibya) &#8211; Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m, Petrol ve Gaz Sekt\u00f6r G\u00fcncelleme Raporu&#8217;nda, k\u0131sa vadede g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc rafinaj g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn korundu\u011funu ancak orta vadede risk\/getiri dengesinin daha dengeli hale geldi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":154141,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow07ekDA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1,9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-154140","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","category-ekonomi","category-manset"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/154140","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=154140"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/154140\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/154141"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=154140"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=154140"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=154140"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}