{"id":150988,"date":"2026-09-17T08:01:51","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T05:01:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/09\/17\/piyasalarda-fed-sonrasi-kritik-seviyeler-one-cikiyor"},"modified":"2026-09-17T08:01:51","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T05:01:51","slug":"piyasalarda-fed-sonrasi-kritik-seviyeler-one-cikiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/09\/17\/piyasalarda-fed-sonrasi-kritik-seviyeler-one-cikiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Piyasalarda Fed sonras\u0131 kritik seviyeler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">\u0130kon Menkul\u2019\u00fcn analizinde ons alt\u0131n\u0131n, Fed\u2019in politika faizini y\u00fczde 3,75-4,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckseltmesi ve Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n enflasyonun y\u00fcksek seyretti\u011fini vurgulamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yakla\u015f\u0131k alt\u0131 haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine geriledi\u011fi, yeni g\u00fcnde ise tepki al\u0131mlar\u0131yla kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc geri alarak 4.300 dolar \u00e7evresine toparland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Toparlanman\u0131n, Fed\u2019in \u015fahin mesajlar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u00f6nceden fiyatlanm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n Suudi Arabistan kaynakl\u0131 ek arz beklentileriyle gerilemesinden destek buldu\u011fu aktar\u0131ld\u0131. Bununla birlikte Fed \u00fcyelerinin y\u0131l i\u00e7inde en az bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na daha a\u00e7\u0131k olmas\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n \u00fczerindeki faiz bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n tamamen ortadan kalkmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi belirtildi. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde MACD \u00e7izgisinin -15 civar\u0131nda ve sinyal \u00e7izgisinin belirgin bi\u00e7imde alt\u0131nda oldu\u011fu, negatif histogram\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f momentumunun s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret etti\u011fi, RSI\u2019\u0131n ise 44,8 ile 50 e\u015fi\u011finin alt\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu kaydedildi. \u0130kon Menkul, 4.200-4.300 b\u00f6lgesinin korunmas\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede tepki hareketinin devam\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu, 4.350\u2019nin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde 4.500\u2019e do\u011fru alan a\u00e7\u0131labilece\u011fini, 4.200\u2019\u00fcn kaybedilmesi durumunda ise 4.000 b\u00f6lgesinin yeniden g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fini aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Ham petrol vadeli kontrat\u0131n\u0131n 100 dolar direncinden sat\u0131\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015farak yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 3,2 geriledi\u011fi ve 97,3 dolar \u00e7evresine \u00e7ekildi\u011fi belirtilirken, 100 dolar \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k sa\u011flanamamas\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli momentumda yorulmaya i\u015faret etti\u011fi ifade edildi. Sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n temel nedeninin arz korkusundaki k\u0131smi hafifleme oldu\u011fu aktar\u0131ld\u0131. Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n Umman a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131ndan ek kargo sunmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 ve Do\u011fu-Bat\u0131 boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n kademeli olarak yeniden devreye al\u0131nabilece\u011fine ili\u015fkin beklentilerin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz kaynakl\u0131 fiziki s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n etkisini azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. Brent ve WTI fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n da bu geli\u015fmelerle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131n yaln\u0131zca 640 bin varil azalmas\u0131n\u0131n, beklenen 1,62 milyon varillik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve fiyatlar \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi. Teknik tarafta MACD\u2019nin pozitif b\u00f6lgede bulundu\u011fu ve trendin tamamen bozulmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, RSI\u2019\u0131n 68 civar\u0131na gerilemesinin ise \u00f6nceki a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131. 100 dolar\u0131n ana diren\u00e7 konumunu korudu\u011fu, 95 dolar \u00fczerinde tutunman\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015f yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 destekleyebilece\u011fi, 95 dolar\u0131n kaybedilmesi halinde ise 90 dolara do\u011fru d\u00fczeltmenin h\u0131zlanabilece\u011fi belirtildi. Jeopolitik risklerin devam etti\u011fi ve arz taraf\u0131nda yeni bir \u015fok ya\u015fanmas\u0131 halinde 100 dolar seviyesinin yeniden test edilebilece\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">EUR\/USD paritesinin Fed\u2019in 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n \u015fahin mesajlar\u0131 sonras\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 0,70 geriledi\u011fi, haftal\u0131k kayb\u0131n y\u00fczde 1,2\u2019ye yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve paritenin 1,1460 civar\u0131nda seyretti\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte dolar\u0131n yedi haftan\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n etkili oldu\u011fu ifade edildi. Fed\u2019in faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 3,75-4,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckseltmesinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra 2026 i\u00e7inde en az bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret etti\u011fi, piyasan\u0131n da y\u0131l sonuna kadar yeni bir art\u0131\u015f ihtimalini yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 90 fiyatlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">ECB taraf\u0131nda enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon nedeniyle ek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma beklentileri bulunsa da Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ndeki \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flamas\u0131 ve enerji maliyetlerinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n euroya g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir destek sa\u011flamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde 1,1500 seviyesinin kaybedilmesinin zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret etti\u011fi, MACD\u2019nin sinyal \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 ve negatif histogram\u0131n geni\u015flemesinin sat\u0131\u015f momentumunun s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi belirtildi. RSI\u2019\u0131n 31,7 ile a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na yakla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ise k\u0131sa vadeli tepki ihtimalini art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi. 1,1450-1,1410 band\u0131n\u0131n kritik destek b\u00f6lgesi oldu\u011fu, 1,1450 alt\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n 1,1360\u2019a do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilece\u011fi, toparlanman\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nce 1,1500, ard\u0131ndan 1,1600 seviyelerinin geri al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">USD\/JPY paritesinin Fed karar\u0131 ve \u015fahin mesajlar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 0,75 y\u00fckseldi\u011fi, haftal\u0131k kazanc\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 1,75\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ge\u00e7en haftaki kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 geri ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. Paritenin 156,0 \u00e7evresinde seyretti\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131. Fed\u2019in y\u0131l sonuna kadar en az bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini canl\u0131 tutmas\u0131 ve dolar\u0131n yedi haftan\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n toparlanmada etkili oldu\u011fu ifade edilirken, piyasan\u0131n cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak BoJ karar\u0131na odakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">BoJ\u2019un politika faizini y\u00fczde 1,25\u2019e \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi, yen a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ise Ba\u015fkan Ueda\u2019n\u0131n sonraki faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131na ili\u015fkin mesajlar\u0131n\u0131n kritik olaca\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. Daha \u015fahin bir y\u00f6nlendirmenin dolar rallisini s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilece\u011fi, beklentileri kar\u015f\u0131lamayan bir tonun ise USD\/JPY\u2019de yukar\u0131 hareketi uzatabilece\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde fiyat\u0131n yeniden 156 seviyesini test etmesi, RSI\u2019\u0131n 45\u2019e do\u011fru toparlanmas\u0131 ve MACD histogram\u0131n\u0131n negatif olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen belirgin bi\u00e7imde daralmas\u0131n\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti\u011fi ifade edildi. 156 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k halinde 157 ve 158 b\u00f6lgelerinin g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fi, BoJ\u2019dan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma sinyali gelmesi durumunda ise 155 ve 154,25 seviyelerine do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilme riskinin bulundu\u011fu kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Nasdaq vadeli endeksinin son birka\u00e7 haftada 29.300-30.000 band\u0131nda yatay ve konsolide bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergiledi\u011fi, yeni g\u00fcnde 29.450 civar\u0131nda dengelendi\u011fi belirtildi. Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya a\u00e7\u0131k mesajlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6zellikle k\u0131sa vadeli tahvil faizlerini yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yarak teknoloji hisselerinin de\u011ferlemeleri \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011fu ifade edildi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yapay zeka harcamalar\u0131, y\u00fcksek kar b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ve b\u00fcy\u00fck teknoloji \u015firketlerinin sa\u011flam bilan\u00e7o g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n sertle\u015fmesini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>ABD hisselerinde y\u00fckselen faizlere ra\u011fmen panik havas\u0131 olu\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve teknoloji taraf\u0131nda kazan\u00e7 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn deste\u011fini korudu\u011fu belirtildi. RSI\u2019\u0131n 51,8 ile n\u00f6tr b\u00f6lgenin hemen \u00fczerinde bulundu\u011fu, MACD\u2019nin ise negatif b\u00f6lgede olmakla birlikte yatayla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi. 29.300 deste\u011finin korunmas\u0131 halinde 30.000 ve 30.500 seviyelerine do\u011fru yeni bir deneme g\u00f6r\u00fclebilece\u011fi, 29.300 alt\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 fiyatlaman\u0131n ise 28.750 ve 28.200 b\u00f6lgelerine do\u011fru sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilece\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p> <strong><\/strong><br \/>\nEKONOM\u0130 GAZETES\u0130 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130stanbul, 17 Eyl\u00fcl (Hibya) &#8211; \u0130kon Menkul, ons alt\u0131n, ham petrol, EUR\/USD, USD\/JPY ve Nasdaq vadeli endeksine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmesinde, k\u00fcresel piyasalarda Fed karar\u0131n\u0131n etkilerinin izlendi\u011fini ve teknik seviyelerin \u00f6nemini korudu\u011funu aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":150989,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow07ekDA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1,9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-150988","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","category-ekonomi","category-manset"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150988","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=150988"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150988\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/150989"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=150988"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=150988"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=150988"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}