Ikon Menkul De\u011ferler\u2019in analizine g\u00f6re ons alt\u0131n, ham petrol, EUR\/USD, USD\/JPY ve Nasdaq vadeli endeksine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelere yer verildi. Raporda, piyasalar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcnde Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131, ABD tahvil faizleri, dolar\u0131n seyri ve Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 enerji arz risklerinin belirleyici olabilece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Rapora g\u00f6re ons alt\u0131n, d\u00f6rt haftaya yay\u0131lan sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 bu hafta da tamamen k\u0131ramad\u0131. D\u00fcn 4.250 dolar b\u00f6lgesine kadar gerileyen ons alt\u0131n, bug\u00fcn gelen tepki al\u0131mlar\u0131yla yeniden 4.300 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve 4.310 dolar civar\u0131nda dengelendi.<\/p>\n
Ikon Menkul analizinde, 4.250 dolar civar\u0131nda al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n yeniden devreye girmesine kar\u015f\u0131n tepkinin hen\u00fcz ana d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirecek g\u00fc\u00e7te olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
MACD \u00e7izgisinin sinyal \u00e7izgisinin belirgin \u015fekilde alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 ve histogram\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k -30 seviyesinde negatif b\u00f6lgede bulunmas\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n tamamen sona ermedi\u011fine i\u015faret ederken, RSI\u2019\u0131n 45 civar\u0131nda ve 50 e\u015fi\u011finin alt\u0131nda olmas\u0131 toparlanman\u0131n \u015fimdilik tepki niteli\u011finde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n
ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizinin y\u00fczde 5 seviyesini a\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ve piyasalar\u0131n Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 90 oran\u0131nda fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011fu belirtildi. Y\u00fcksek reel getiriler ve g\u00f6rece g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ve Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 arz risklerinin g\u00fcvenli liman talebini desteklemeye devam etti\u011fi ancak son g\u00fcnlerde petrol fiyatlar\u0131, enflasyon ve y\u00fcksek tahvil faizleri kaynakl\u0131 bask\u0131n\u0131n daha belirgin oldu\u011fu aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Analizde, 4.200-4.300 dolar b\u00f6lgesi korundu\u011fu s\u00fcrece 4.350 dolara do\u011fru tepki alan\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131k kalabilece\u011fi, 4.350 dolar\u0131n a\u015f\u0131lamamas\u0131 halinde ise d\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminin devam etti\u011finin de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Ons alt\u0131nda destek seviyeleri 4.200, 4.000 ve 3.900 dolar; diren\u00e7 seviyeleri ise 4.350, 4.500 ve 4.600 dolar olarak s\u0131raland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Crude Oil vadeli kontrat\u0131n\u0131n son haftalardaki sert y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan 100 dolar s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 test etti\u011fi, ancak bu seviyeyi kal\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde a\u015famayarak 98,5 dolar civar\u0131nda dengelendi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n
Ikon Menkul, grafi\u011fin yukar\u0131 e\u011fimli yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 korudu\u011funu belirtti. MACD \u00e7izgisinin 4,64 ile 3,48 seviyesindeki sinyal \u00e7izgisinin \u00fczerinde bulunmas\u0131 ve histogram\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k +1,16 seviyesinde olmas\u0131 trend devaml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n korundu\u011funa i\u015faret ederken, RSI\u2019\u0131n 75 civar\u0131nda bulunmas\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede piyasan\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 gerildi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin temel nedenleri aras\u0131nda fiziki arz ve ula\u015f\u0131m risklerinin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 bypass eden Do\u011fu-Bat\u0131 boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131n takip edildi\u011fi, Brent petrol\u00fcn 106-107 dolar civar\u0131nda seyretti\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
WTI\u2019da Kas\u0131m kontrat\u0131n\u0131n 98,5 dolar, yak\u0131n vadeli WTI\u2019\u0131n ise 102 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde bulunmas\u0131n\u0131n, piyasan\u0131n mevcut arz s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ileri aylara k\u0131yasla daha y\u00fcksek fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n sava\u015f sonras\u0131nda petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik s\u00f6ylemleri, Suudi boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131labilece\u011fi beklentisi ve Rusya-Ukrayna enerji ate\u015fkesi giri\u015fiminin Kas\u0131m kontrat\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilecek unsurlar oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k H\u00fcrm\u00fcz ve Bab\u00fclmendep trafi\u011finin daha fazla bozulmas\u0131n\u0131n 100 dolar seviyesinin kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131na neden olabilece\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
OPEC\u2019in 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 petrol talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 tahminini g\u00fcnl\u00fck 380 bin varile kadar indirmesinin ise y\u00fcksek fiyatlar\u0131n talebi azaltabilece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik orta vadeli riski canl\u0131 tuttu\u011fu aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Petrolde destekler 95, 90 ve 85 dolar; diren\u00e7ler 100, 110 ve 115 dolar olarak verildi.<\/p>\n
EUR\/USD paritesinin haftan\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 0,52 gerileyerek 1,1540 civar\u0131na \u00e7ekildi\u011fi belirtildi. Ge\u00e7en hafta kaybedilen 1,1600 seviyesinin ard\u0131ndan sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n devam etti\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
MACD \u00e7izgisinin 0,00064 ile 0,00208 seviyesindeki sinyal \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda bulunmas\u0131 ve histogram\u0131n -0,00144 ile negatif b\u00f6lgede geni\u015flemesi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterirken, RSI\u2019\u0131n 40,9 seviyesine gerilemesinin bask\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na ancak paritenin hen\u00fcz a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine girmedi\u011fine i\u015faret etti\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Paritedeki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n temel nedeninin eurodan \u00e7ok dolar taraf\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenme oldu\u011fu ifade edildi. Brent petrol\u00fcn 107 dolar civar\u0131na y\u00fckselmesiyle ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizinin y\u00fczde 5 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131, Fed\u2019in 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalinin yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 93\u2019e y\u00fckseldi\u011fi ve dolar endeksinin iki haftan\u0131n zirvesine yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Analizde, Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan ziyade bundan sonraki s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma s\u00fcrecine ili\u015fkin verece\u011fi mesajlar\u0131n dolar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcnde belirleyici olaca\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. ECB\u2019nin faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve baz\u0131 \u00fcyelerin daha fazla s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya a\u00e7\u0131k mesajlar\u0131n\u0131n euroya destek sa\u011flayabilece\u011fi ancak y\u00fcksek petrol ve do\u011fal gaz fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n Euro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisine ili\u015fkin endi\u015feleri art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
EUR\/USD i\u00e7in 1,1500 seviyesinin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde 1,1450-1,1410 band\u0131na do\u011fru yeni bir sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fi, Fed\u2019in daha temkinli bir y\u00f6nlendirme yapmas\u0131 halinde ise 1,1600 ve ard\u0131ndan 1,1650 seviyelerine do\u011fru tepki g\u00f6r\u00fclebilece\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
Destekler 1,1500, 1,1450 ve 1,1410; diren\u00e7ler 1,1600, 1,1650 ve 1,1685 olarak s\u0131raland\u0131.<\/p>\n
USD\/JPY paritesinin son haftalardaki sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan 153 b\u00f6lgesinden tepki alarak 154,6 civar\u0131na toparland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ancak bu hareketin ana d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 hen\u00fcz tersine \u00e7evirmedi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
154,25 seviyesinin yeniden kazan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli tepkiyi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi\u011fi, ancak MACD \u00e7izgisinin -1,57 ile -1,27 seviyesindeki sinyal \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 ve histogram\u0131n negatif b\u00f6lgede bulunmas\u0131n\u0131n orta vadeli a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun devam etti\u011fine i\u015faret etti\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
RSI\u2019\u0131n 36,5 civar\u0131nda seyretmesinin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinden uzakla\u015fman\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi ancak al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n hen\u00fcz belirgin bi\u00e7imde kontrol\u00fc ele almad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019de petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 107 dolar civar\u0131nda bulunmas\u0131 ve 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizinin y\u00fczde 5\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n dolara k\u0131sa vadeli destek verdi\u011fi belirtildi. Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz karar\u0131n\u0131n ve 2027\u2019ye kadar daha h\u0131zl\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ihtimaline y\u00f6nelik mesajlar\u0131n\u0131n da paritenin y\u00f6n\u00fcnde etkili olabilece\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
154,25 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece 155-156 band\u0131na do\u011fru tepki alan\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131k oldu\u011fu, ancak 155 seviyesinin kal\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeden mevcut hareketin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir trend d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc olarak de\u011ferlendirilmesinin erken oldu\u011fu belirtildi. 153 seviyesinin kaybedilmesi halinde ise 152 ve 150 seviyelerinin g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
USD\/JPY\u2019de destekler 154,25, 153 ve 152; diren\u00e7ler 155, 156 ve 157 olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Nasdaq vadeli endeksinin 29.300 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve 29.400 civar\u0131nda fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. 29.300 seviyesinin yeniden kazan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede olumlu oldu\u011fu, RSI\u2019\u0131n 50 civar\u0131nda dengelenmesinin de sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131n MACD \u00e7izgilerinin s\u0131f\u0131r \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda ve zay\u0131f seyretmesinin toparlanman\u0131n hen\u00fcz g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir trend d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcne d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmedi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
Analizde, ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizinin y\u00fczde 5\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve Fed\u2019in 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalinin yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 93\u2019e y\u00fckselmesinin teknoloji hisselerinin de\u011ferlemeleri \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011fu belirtildi. Di\u011fer taraftan, \u00f6nceki g\u00fcn ya\u015fanan sert yapay zeka kaynakl\u0131 sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Nasdaq\u2019ta tepki al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n devreye girdi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Nvidia ve di\u011fer \u00e7ip hisselerindeki sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n arkas\u0131nda yapay zeka geli\u015fiminin yava\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131n bulundu\u011fu belirtilirken, endeksin y\u00f6n\u00fcnde Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131ndan \u00e7ok toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131nda ek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde a\u00e7\u0131k kap\u0131 b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n belirleyici olabilece\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
Nasdaq vadeli endeksi i\u00e7in destekler 29.300, 28.750 ve 28.200; diren\u00e7ler 30.000, 30.500 ve 31.000 seviyeleri olarak verildi.<\/p>\n
<\/strong> \u0130stanbul, 15 Eyl\u00fcl (Hibya) – Ikon Menkul De\u011ferler\u2019in analizine g\u00f6re ons alt\u0131n, ham petrol, EUR\/USD, USD\/JPY ve Nasdaq vadeli endeksine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelere yer verildi. Raporda, piyasalar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcnde Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131, ABD tahvil faizleri, dolar\u0131n seyri ve Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 enerji arz risklerinin belirleyici olabilece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":149511,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow07ekDA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1,9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-149510","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","category-ekonomi","category-manset"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149510","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=149510"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149510\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/149511"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=149510"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=149510"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=149510"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\nEKONOM\u0130 GAZETES\u0130 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"