T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (TCMB) Eyl\u00fcl 2026 Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Anketi\u2019ne g\u00f6re, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 2026 y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi y\u00fczde 29,61 oldu. Bir \u00f6nceki ankette bu beklenti y\u00fczde 29,43 seviyesindeydi.<\/p>\n
Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 anketi, 7-9 Eyl\u00fcl 2026 tarihleri aras\u0131nda reel sekt\u00f6r ve finansal sekt\u00f6r temsilcilerinden olu\u015fan 67 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131tlar\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirildi. Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 52\u2019si finansal sekt\u00f6r, 15\u2019i ise reel sekt\u00f6r temsilcilerinden olu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
Ankete g\u00f6re, 12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nemdeki y\u00fczde 23,69’dan y\u00fczde 23,70’e y\u00fckseldi. 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise y\u00fczde 18,03’ten y\u00fczde 18,32’ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 12 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminlerinde, T\u00dcFE’nin y\u00fczde 47,05 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 23-25,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi bekleniyor. Y\u00fczde 36,40 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 20-22,99, y\u00fczde 11,21 olas\u0131l\u0131kla ise y\u00fczde 26-28,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
24 ay sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in ise T\u00dcFE’nin y\u00fczde 35,26 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 17-19,99, y\u00fczde 30,89 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 14-16,99 ve y\u00fczde 19,18 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 20-22,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n
Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n BIST Repo ve Ters-Repo Pazar\u0131\u2019nda olu\u015fan cari ay sonu gecelik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi y\u00fczde 40’tan y\u00fczde 37’ye geriledi.<\/p>\n
Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndaki Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu toplant\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in TCMB politika faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi de y\u00fczde 37 olarak kaydedildi. Ankette, sonraki toplant\u0131lar i\u00e7in politika faizi beklentileri s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 36, y\u00fczde 35,07 ve y\u00fczde 35,07 olarak yer ald\u0131. 12 ay sonras\u0131 politika faizi beklentisi y\u00fczde 29,22, gelecek y\u0131l sonu beklentisi y\u00fczde 27,16 ve 24 ay sonras\u0131 beklentisi y\u00fczde 22,43 oldu.<\/p>\n
Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 2026 y\u0131l sonu ABD dolar\u0131\/TL beklentisi, bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6nemindeki 51,66 TL’den 51,57 TL’ye geriledi.<\/p>\n
12 ay sonras\u0131 dolar\/TL beklentisi ise 57,43 TL’den 58,60 TL’ye y\u00fckseldi. Ankette cari ay sonu dolar\/TL beklentisi 49,00 TL olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 3,1’den y\u00fczde 3’e geriledi. 2027 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi de y\u00fczde 4’ten y\u00fczde 3,9’a d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Ankette cari y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u0131ll\u0131k cari i\u015flemler dengesi beklentisi 50,1 milyar dolar a\u00e7\u0131k, gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in ise 44,4 milyar dolar a\u00e7\u0131k olarak kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
TCMB, anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n beklentileri esas al\u0131narak hesapland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ve tahminlerini yans\u0131tmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
<\/strong> \u0130stanbul, 11 Eyl\u00fcl (Hibya) – T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (TCMB) Eyl\u00fcl 2026 Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Anketi\u2019ne g\u00f6re, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 2026 y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi y\u00fczde 29,61 oldu. Bir \u00f6nceki ankette bu beklenti y\u00fczde 29,43 seviyesindeydi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":147559,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow07ekDA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-147558","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147558","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=147558"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147558\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/147559"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=147558"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=147558"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=147558"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\nEKONOM\u0130 GAZETES\u0130 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"