{"id":143081,"date":"2026-09-03T15:45:21","date_gmt":"2026-09-03T12:45:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/09\/03\/agustos-enflasyonu-yuzde-184-artti-yil-sonu-tufe-beklentisi-yuzde-2881"},"modified":"2026-09-03T15:45:21","modified_gmt":"2026-09-03T12:45:21","slug":"agustos-enflasyonu-yuzde-184-artti-yil-sonu-tufe-beklentisi-yuzde-2881","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/09\/03\/agustos-enflasyonu-yuzde-184-artti-yil-sonu-tufe-beklentisi-yuzde-2881\/","title":{"rendered":"A\u011fustos enflasyonu y\u00fczde 1,84 artt\u0131, y\u0131l sonu T\u00dcFE beklentisi y\u00fczde 28,81"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Alnus Yat\u0131r\u0131m, T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu (T\u00dc\u0130K) taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan A\u011fustos 2026 enflasyon verilerine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmesini yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Buna g\u00f6re t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi (T\u00dcFE) a\u011fustosta ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 1,84 artt\u0131. Y\u0131ll\u0131k T\u00dcFE ise temmuz ay\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 31,75 seviyesinden y\u00fczde 31,51\u2019e geriledi.<\/p>\n<p>Alnus Yat\u0131r\u0131m, y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyondaki gerilemede ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda kaydedilen y\u00fczde 2,04\u2019l\u00fck art\u0131\u015f\u0131n olu\u015fturdu\u011fu baz etkisinin rol oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda 13 ana harcama grubunun 12\u2019sinde ayl\u0131k bazda fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. En y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 8,62 ile e\u011fitim hizmetlerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, bunu y\u00fczde 6,89 ile alkoll\u00fc i\u00e7ecekler, t\u00fct\u00fcn ve t\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ve y\u00fczde 4,82 ile ula\u015ft\u0131rma grubu izledi.<\/p>\n<p>Fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fclen tek ana harcama grubu ise y\u00fczde 3,54 ile giyim ve ayakkab\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Alnus Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131n de\u011ferlendirmesine g\u00f6re, T\u00dcFE\u2019deki y\u00fczde 1,84\u2019l\u00fck ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fta ula\u015ft\u0131rma grubunun etkisi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Endekste y\u00fczde 16,62 a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011fa sahip ula\u015ft\u0131rma grubundan 0,82 puanl\u0131k katk\u0131 geldi.<\/p>\n<p>Konut, su, elektrik, gaz ve di\u011fer yak\u0131tlar grubunun katk\u0131s\u0131 0,27 puan, alkoll\u00fc i\u00e7ecekler, t\u00fct\u00fcn ve t\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinin katk\u0131s\u0131 0,18 puan, lokantalar ve konaklama hizmetlerinin katk\u0131s\u0131 ise 0,17 puan oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Giyim ve ayakkab\u0131 grubundaki fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ise enflasyonu 0,24 puan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekerek art\u0131\u015f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>COICOP 2018 s\u0131n\u0131flamas\u0131ndaki alt gruplar incelendi\u011finde a\u011fustosta en y\u00fcksek ayl\u0131k fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 56,26 ile hava yolu ile yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 yolcu ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Bunu y\u00fczde 28,89 ile dini hizmetler, y\u00fczde 25,37 ile y\u00fcksek\u00f6\u011fretim e\u011fitimi, y\u00fczde 15,70 ile yumurtalar ve y\u00fczde 14,07 ile motorin izledi.<\/p>\n<p>En y\u00fcksek fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri ise y\u00fczde 21,50 ile di\u011fer taze meyveler, y\u00fczde 17,92 ile turun\u00e7giller ve y\u00fczde 12,78 ile \u00fcz\u00fcms\u00fc meyveler grubunda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Alnus Yat\u0131r\u0131m, okullar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde e\u011fitim fiyatlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin akaryak\u0131t ve ula\u015ft\u0131rma fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131mas\u0131n\u0131n a\u011fustos enflasyonunda etkili oldu\u011funu belirtti. Giyim ve ayakkab\u0131daki sezon sonu indirimleri ile baz\u0131 yaz meyvelerindeki fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerinin ise enflasyonu s\u0131n\u0131rlayan unsurlar oldu\u011fu ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<p>Alnus Yat\u0131r\u0131m, a\u011fustos ay\u0131ndaki enflasyon verilerinin ard\u0131ndan y\u0131l sonu y\u0131ll\u0131k T\u00dcFE beklentisini y\u00fczde 28,81 olarak konumland\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Kurum, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (TCMB) para politikas\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin projeksiyonunda ise 10 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019deki Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (PPK) toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n pas ge\u00e7ilmesini, ekim ve aral\u0131k toplant\u0131lar\u0131nda ise 100\u2019er baz puanl\u0131k faiz indirimi yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini bildirdi.<\/p>\n<p>Bu senaryoya g\u00f6re politika faizinin y\u0131l sonunda y\u00fczde 35 seviyesine gerilemesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<p>Alnus Yat\u0131r\u0131m, imalat sanayisi ve t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131malar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yan yurt i\u00e7i \u00fcretici fiyat endeksindeki (Y\u0130-\u00dcFE) geli\u015fmelere de dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u0130-\u00dcFE a\u011fustosta ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 2,57 artt\u0131. Endeksin y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 ise temmuzdaki y\u00fczde 27,83 seviyesinden y\u00fczde 27,95\u2019e y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u0130-\u00dcFE kapsam\u0131nda takip edilen 9 ana grubun 8\u2019inde fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 kaydedildi. En y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 6,99 ile enerjide ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, elektrik, gaz ve buhar grubunda y\u00fczde 6,03, dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131nda ise y\u00fczde 2,84 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Madencilik ve ta\u015f ocak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 grubunda ise y\u00fczde 0,14\u2019l\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<p>Alnus Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131n de\u011ferlendirmesinde, a\u011fustos enflasyon verileri sonras\u0131nda y\u0131l sonu T\u00dcFE beklentisinin y\u00fczde 28,81 seviyesinde korundu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p> <strong><\/strong><br \/>\nEKONOM\u0130 GAZETES\u0130 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130stanbul, 3 Eyl\u00fcl (Hibya) \u2013 Alnus Yat\u0131r\u0131m, T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu (T\u00dc\u0130K) taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan A\u011fustos 2026 enflasyon verilerine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmesini yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":143082,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow07ekDA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-143081","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/143081","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=143081"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/143081\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/143082"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=143081"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=143081"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=143081"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}