{"id":13626,"date":"2025-12-01T07:45:04","date_gmt":"2025-12-01T04:45:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2025\/12\/01\/mohamed-el-erian-fedden-faiz-indirimi-beklentileri-yuzde-90a-yukseldi"},"modified":"2025-12-01T07:45:04","modified_gmt":"2025-12-01T04:45:04","slug":"mohamed-el-erian-fedden-faiz-indirimi-beklentileri-yuzde-90a-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2025\/12\/01\/mohamed-el-erian-fedden-faiz-indirimi-beklentileri-yuzde-90a-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"Mohamed El-Erian: Fed&#8217;den faiz indirimi beklentileri y\u00fczde 90&#8217;a y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Allianz&#039;\u0131n Ba\u015f Ekonomi dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 olan Mohamed El-Erian, &#8220;K\u00fcresel Ekonomi ve Piyasalara Haftal\u0131k Bak\u0131\u015f&#8221; de\u011ferlendirmesinde, &#8220;\u00d6nemli bir nokta olarak, bu Cuma Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 istihdam raporu a\u00e7\u0131klanmayacak. Veri toplama gecikmeleri nedeniyle, bu rapor 16 Aral\u0131k&#039;a ertelendi. Resmi istihdam rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanmamas\u0131 nedeniyle, piyasa i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 hakk\u0131nda ipucu bulmak i\u00e7in haftal\u0131k ADP istihdam raporunu, ISM \u0130malat ve Hizmetler endeksini, ticaret verilerini ve sanayi \u00fcretimini yak\u0131ndan inceleyecek&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>ABD&#039;de \u015e\u00fckran G\u00fcn\u00fc tatili olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, ge\u00e7en hafta ekonomistler ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in ilgin\u00e7 geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulayan Mohamed El-Erian, &#8220;Bunlar\u0131n en \u00f6nemlileri, Fed politikas\u0131n\u0131n keskin bir \u015fekilde yeniden fiyatland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve piyasalardan yeni \u0130ngiltere b\u00fct\u00e7esine verilen ge\u00e7ici onay oldu&#8221; dedi ve ekledi:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Piyasalar\u0131n Fed&#039;in 10 Aral\u0131k&#039;ta faiz indirimi yapaca\u011f\u0131na dair beklentileri y\u00fczde 90&#039;a y\u00fckseldi. Bu, birka\u00e7 hafta \u00f6nce y\u00fczde 30 olarak fiyatlanan olas\u0131l\u0131ktan dramatik bir tersine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f. Bu g\u00fcvercin tav\u0131rl\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f, iki fakt\u00f6r taraf\u0131ndan tetiklendi: Faaliyetlerle ilgili verilerdeki devam eden zay\u0131fl\u0131k ve Bloomberg&#039;in Kevin Hassett&#039;i Fed ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in be\u015f finalist aras\u0131nda en \u00f6nde gelen aday olarak g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi haberleri.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>ABD verilerinin &#8220;kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyaller vermeye&#8221; devam etti\u011fini vurgulayan Mohamed El-Erian, &#8220;T\u00fcketici g\u00fcveninde hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaratan bir tablo ve iki h\u0131z ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6rd\u00fck: imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc daralmaya devam ederken, hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye devam ediyor&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>Bu arada, \u0130ngiltere&#039;de, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin ikinci b\u00fct\u00e7esinin, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u201cmali hareket alan\u0131n\u0131n\u201d iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 nedeniyle piyasalar taraf\u0131ndan olumlu kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131na da dikkat \u00e7eken Mohamed El-Erian, &#8220;Ancak, \u00fc\u00e7 yap\u0131sal endi\u015fenin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla, bu olumlu beklentinin k\u0131sa \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc olma riski bulunuyor&#8221; dedi ve bu yap\u0131sal endi\u015feleri \u015f\u00f6yle s\u0131ralad\u0131:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Gelir Stratejisi: \u015eeffaf, sabit bir gelir vergisi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yerine karma\u015f\u0131k bir dizi vergi arac\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k. Zaman \u00c7izelgesi: Mali ayarlama, \u00f6zellikle bor\u00e7 ve a\u00e7\u0131k profillerinin iyile\u015ftirilmesi konusunda, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde geriye d\u00f6n\u00fck olarak yap\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. B\u00fcy\u00fcme: Bu b\u00fct\u00e7enin, \u0130ngiltere&#039;nin acil olarak ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu verimlilik ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ger\u00e7ekten sa\u011flayabilece\u011fine dair \u015f\u00fcpheler var.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Mohamed El-Erian, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta uluslararas\u0131 piyasalarda olas\u0131 geli\u015fmeleri de \u015f\u00f6yle s\u0131ralad\u0131:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;\u0130ngiltere: \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131&#039;n\u0131n finansal istikrar risklerine ili\u015fkin periyodik de\u011ferlendirmesini beklerken, piyasan\u0131n b\u00fct\u00e7eyi nas\u0131l sindirdi\u011fini izlemeye devam edece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Japonya: Piyasalar, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kazuo Ueda&#039;n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na yak\u0131ndan dikkat edecek. Ueda, faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 sabit tutma y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki siyasi bask\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kal\u0131rken, y\u00fckselen enflasyonu ve zay\u0131f para birimini y\u00f6netmek gibi hassas bir dengeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Suudi Arabistan: B\u00fct\u00e7enin a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131, buna ima edilen &#039;k\u00e2r e\u015fi\u011fi&#039; petrol fiyat\u0131 da dahil.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Asya: \u00c7in ve Singapur&#039;un perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da dahil olmak \u00fczere bir dizi sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi (PMI) verisi.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Latin Amerika: Brezilya&#039;n\u0131n GSYH, ticaret ve enflasyon verileri; Meksika&#039;n\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergeleri ve t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni.&#8221;<br \/>\n\u00a0<\/p>\n<p> <strong><\/strong><br \/>\nSANAY\u0130 HABER AJANSI <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130stanbul, 1 Aral\u0131k (Hibya) &#8211; Finans ve Ekonomi Uzman\u0131 Mohamed El-Erian, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirece\u011fine ili\u015fkin beklentilerin y\u00fczde 90&#8243;a y\u00fckseldi\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekti ve &#8220;10 Aral\u0131k toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde, Fed&#8217;in tercih etti\u011fi enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi olan t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 endeksi verilerinin bu hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 \u00f6zellikle ilgi \u00e7ekecek&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13627,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow07ekDA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12,4,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13626","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-spor","category-dunya","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13626","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13626"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13626\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13627"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13626"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13626"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13626"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}