{"id":132551,"date":"2026-08-14T14:30:11","date_gmt":"2026-08-14T11:30:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/08\/14\/kuresel-piyasalarda-jeopolitik-risk-ve-petrol-fiyatlari-gundemde"},"modified":"2026-08-14T14:30:11","modified_gmt":"2026-08-14T11:30:11","slug":"kuresel-piyasalarda-jeopolitik-risk-ve-petrol-fiyatlari-gundemde","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/08\/14\/kuresel-piyasalarda-jeopolitik-risk-ve-petrol-fiyatlari-gundemde\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u00fcresel piyasalarda jeopolitik risk ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131 g\u00fcndemde"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131n Uluslararas\u0131 Piyasalar G\u00fcnl\u00fck B\u00fclteni\u2019ne g\u00f6re k\u00fcresel piyasalarda haftan\u0131n son i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde temkinli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri (ABD)\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik ekonomik izolasyon plan\u0131n\u0131 devreye almaya haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 jeopolitik riskleri yeniden art\u0131r\u0131rken, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f enflasyon endi\u015felerini canl\u0131 tutuyor.<\/p>\n<p>Brent petrol 88 dolar seviyesine yakla\u015f\u0131rken, ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi de %4,66 seviyesine y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p>Hafta i\u00e7inde a\u00e7\u0131klanan \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 T\u00dcFE ve \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131 verileri Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini zay\u0131flat\u0131rken, bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD perakende sat\u0131\u015f verisinin ekonominin g\u00fcc\u00fc ve eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndaki Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentiler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>Borsa taraf\u0131nda S&amp;P 500 per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yeni tarihi zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Teknoloji ve yapay zek\u00e2 hisselerindeki toparlanman\u0131n deste\u011fiyle Nasdaq 100 de y\u00fczde 1\u2019in \u00fczerinde y\u00fckselerek haziran sonundan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc mega teknoloji \u015firketi bilan\u00e7olar\u0131n\u0131n risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 destekledi\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekerken, Asya piyasalar\u0131nda da teknoloji hisselerine y\u00f6nelik al\u0131mlar\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. G\u00fcney Kore Kospi endeksinin haftal\u0131k bazda yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 11 y\u00fckselmesi dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n<p>Avrupa taraf\u0131nda Stoxx 50 rekor seviyelere yak\u0131n seyrini korurken, Avrupa teknoloji hisseleri de ABD\u2019deki yapay zek\u00e2 odakl\u0131 toparlanmadan destek buldu. SAP yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 5, Amadeus IT ise y\u00fczde 2\u2019nin \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda, \u0130ran ile ABD aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 sona erdirmeye y\u00f6nelik giri\u015fimlerin sonu\u00e7suz kalmas\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki ge\u00e7i\u015flerin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 seyretmesinin risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<p>Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u2019a g\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enflasyon verileri ve teknoloji hisselerindeki toparlanma k\u00fcresel piyasalar\u0131 desteklerken, \u0130ran kaynakl\u0131 jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler, y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve uzun vadeli ABD tahvil faizlerindeki art\u0131\u015f yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilecek temel riskler olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eirket haberlerinde Reddit \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131na g\u00f6re Reddit, 18 A\u011fustos itibar\u0131yla S&amp;P 500 endeksine dahil edilecek. \u015eirketin AvalonBay Communities\u2019in yerini alaca\u011f\u0131 belirtilirken, geli\u015fmenin Reddit hisselerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f getirdi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Applied Materials ise beklentilerin \u00fczerinde sonu\u00e7lar ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc 2026 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne ra\u011fmen sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eirketin gelirleri y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 25 art\u0131\u015fla 9,12 milyar dolara ula\u015f\u0131rken, yar\u0131 iletken sistemleri gelirleri y\u00fczde 30 y\u00fckseldi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 98 y\u00fckselen hissede beklentilerin daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesinin sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 tetikledi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde Brent petrol 87,36 dolar seviyesinde bulunuyor. 89,53 dolardaki Fibonacci y\u00fczde 50 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015fin hen\u00fcz g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>83,21 dolardaki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn pozitif oldu\u011fu de\u011ferlendirilirken, 89,53 dolar \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k sa\u011flanmas\u0131 halinde 93,11 ve 96,80 dolar seviyeleri g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 83,21 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda 77,82-73,26 dolar b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilme riski bulunuyor.<\/p>\n<p>K\u0131sa vadeli seviyeler:<\/p>\n<p>Diren\u00e7: 90,00 \u2013 93,00 \u2013 97,00 dolar<\/p>\n<p>Destek: 83,00 \u2013 78,00 \u2013 73,00 dolar<\/p>\n<p>Alt\u0131n 4.357 dolar seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken temmuz ay\u0131ndan bu yana toparlanma e\u011filimini koruyor. Ancak fiyat\u0131n 4.484 dolardaki Fibonacci y\u00fczde 61,8 seviyesi ile 4.503 dolardaki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda bulunmas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>4.380-4.503 dolar b\u00f6lgesinin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131, teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir ve alt\u0131n\u0131 4.669 ile 4.853 dolar seviyelerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlerde ise 4.255 dolar kritik destek olarak izleniyor. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda 4.100 ve 3.892 dolar b\u00f6lgelerine do\u011fru sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n artabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n<p>K\u0131sa vadeli seviyeler:<\/p>\n<p>Diren\u00e7: 4.380 \u2013 4.503 \u2013 4.669 dolar<\/p>\n<p>Destek: 4.255 \u2013 4.100 \u2013 3.982 dolar<\/p>\n<p>S&amp;P 500 vadeli kontrat\u0131 7.827 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Fiyat\u0131n 50, 100 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n \u00fczerinde bulunmas\u0131 ana y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>RSI\u2019\u0131n 67 seviyesine yakla\u015fmas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc momentuma dikkat \u00e7ekerken, 7.900-7.953 b\u00f6lgesinin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde 8.045 seviyesine do\u011fru y\u00fckseli\u015fin devam edebilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 7.740 ilk \u00f6nemli destek konumunda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n<p>K\u0131sa vadeli seviyeler:<\/p>\n<p>Diren\u00e7: 7.900 \u2013 7.953 \u2013 8.045<\/p>\n<p>Destek: 7.740 \u2013 7.552 \u2013 7.349<\/p>\n<p>Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m, genel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde teknoloji hisselerindeki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyir ve gev\u015feyen enflasyon beklentilerinin piyasalar\u0131 destekledi\u011fini, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f, \u0130ran kaynakl\u0131 jeopolitik riskler ve y\u00fcksek uzun vadeli tahvil faizlerinin k\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan takip edilmesi gerekti\u011fini de\u011ferlendiriyor.<\/p>\n<p> <strong><\/strong><br \/>\nEKONOM\u0130 GAZETES\u0130 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130stanbul, 14 A\u011fustos (Hibya) &#8211; Gedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131n Uluslararas\u0131 Piyasalar G\u00fcnl\u00fck B\u00fclteni\u2019ne g\u00f6re k\u00fcresel piyasalarda haftan\u0131n son i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde temkinli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":132552,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow07ekDA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1,9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-132551","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","category-ekonomi","category-manset"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/132551","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=132551"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/132551\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/132552"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=132551"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=132551"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=132551"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}