Trive Yat\u0131r\u0131m, teknik raporunda Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri (ABD)’de beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kalan tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verilerinin ard\u0131ndan k\u00fcresel piyasalarda faiz beklentilerinin yeniden \u015fekillendi\u011fini belirterek, zay\u0131flayan dolar\u0131n EUR\/USD paritesini destekledi\u011fini de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n
Rapora g\u00f6re, ABD’de Temmuz ay\u0131 tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisi 85 bin art\u0131\u015f beklentisine kar\u015f\u0131n 23 bin ki\u015filik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 beklentilerin aksine y\u00fczde 4,2 yerine y\u00fczde 4,1 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131rken, ortalama saatlik kazan\u00e7lar ise ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 0,3 beklentisine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k y\u00fczde 0,1 art\u0131\u015f kaydetti.<\/p>\n
Trive Yat\u0131r\u0131m, zay\u0131f istihdam verisi ve s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n reel faizleri son iki haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine \u00e7ekti\u011fini vurgulad\u0131. Raporda, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131ndaki gerilemenin ise istihdam piyasas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesinden ziyade i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesi yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u00d6nceki iki aya ait istihdam verilerinin toplam 103 bin ki\u015fi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edilmesiyle birlikte piyasalarda Fed’in eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ihtimali y\u00fczde 55’ten y\u00fczde 46’ya geriledi.<\/p>\n
Analizde, faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerindeki de\u011fi\u015fimin dolar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011fu ve bunun da EUR\/USD paritesinin ocak ay\u0131ndan bu yana devam eden al\u00e7alan trendin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 destekledi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (ECB) eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n temel senaryo haline gelmesinin de euroyu destekleyen \u00f6nemli unsurlar aras\u0131nda yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan 1,1550 seviyesinin kritik diren\u00e7 konumunda oldu\u011fu kaydedilen raporda, bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k sa\u011flanmas\u0131 ve haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f yap\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filiminin g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanabilece\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
Trive Yat\u0131r\u0131m, paritenin orta vadeli y\u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda beklenen uzla\u015fman\u0131n belirleyici olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n
Rapora g\u00f6re, anla\u015fman\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 halinde petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda gerileme ya\u015fanabilece\u011fi, bunun da Fed’in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini zay\u0131flatarak EUR\/USD paritesinde y\u00fckseli\u015f trendini destekleyebilece\u011fi ve 1,1800 seviyesinin hedef konumuna gelebilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k anla\u015fman\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmemesi durumunda y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilece\u011fi, bunun da Fed’in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilece\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
Bu senaryoda hem dolar hem de euro taraf\u0131nda faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerinin fiyatlanabilece\u011fi ve paritede daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminin g\u00f6r\u00fclebilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendirildi.<\/p>\n
Trive Yat\u0131r\u0131m, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde Fed’in para politikas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve jeopolitik geli\u015fmelere ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak \u015fekillenmeye devam edece\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n
<\/strong> \u0130stanbul, 7 A\u011fustos (Hibya) \u2013 Trive Yat\u0131r\u0131m, teknik raporunda Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri (ABD)’de beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kalan tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verilerinin ard\u0131ndan k\u00fcresel piyasalarda faiz beklentilerinin yeniden \u015fekillendi\u011fini belirterek, zay\u0131flayan dolar\u0131n EUR\/USD paritesini destekledi\u011fini de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":128777,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow07ekDA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1,9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-128776","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","category-ekonomi","category-manset"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/128776","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=128776"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/128776\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/128777"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=128776"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=128776"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=128776"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\nEKONOM\u0130 GAZETES\u0130 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"