{"id":127116,"date":"2026-08-05T09:30:26","date_gmt":"2026-08-05T06:30:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/08\/05\/piyasalarin-odaginda-hurmuz-gorusmeleri-borsa-istanbul-icin-pozitif-beklenti-korunuyor"},"modified":"2026-08-05T09:30:26","modified_gmt":"2026-08-05T06:30:26","slug":"piyasalarin-odaginda-hurmuz-gorusmeleri-borsa-istanbul-icin-pozitif-beklenti-korunuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/08\/05\/piyasalarin-odaginda-hurmuz-gorusmeleri-borsa-istanbul-icin-pozitif-beklenti-korunuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri, Borsa \u0130stanbul i\u00e7in pozitif beklenti korunuyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Trive Yat\u0131r\u0131m, &#8220;Piyasa Notu&#8221;nda k\u00fcresel piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik diplomatik g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin bulundu\u011funu belirtirken, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde ihracat g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, enflasyon beklentileri ve Borsa \u0130stanbul&#8217;a ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelere de yer verdi.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131&#8217;nda kal\u0131c\u0131 ve g\u00fcvenli ge\u00e7i\u015f sa\u011flanmad\u0131k\u00e7a enerji piyasalar\u0131ndaki oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrebilece\u011fi, Borsa \u0130stanbul&#8217;da ise y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fine y\u00f6nelik iyimser beklentilerin korundu\u011fu ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda, ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik diplomatik temaslar\u0131n piyasalar\u0131n ana g\u00fcndem maddesi oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>ABD Hazine Bakan\u0131 Scott Bessent&#8217;in anla\u015fman\u0131n bug\u00fcn ya da yar\u0131n sa\u011flanabilece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekilirken, ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Marco Rubio&#8217;nun ise m\u00fczakerelerde ilerleme kaydedildi\u011fini ancak hen\u00fcz nihai uzla\u015fmaya var\u0131lamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Axios&#8217;un haberine g\u00f6re ABD, \u0130ran ve Umman&#8217;\u0131n ge\u00e7ici bir d\u00fczenlemeye yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131, Washington y\u00f6netiminin anla\u015fmay\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede duyurmay\u0131 hedefledi\u011fi belirtilirken, s\u00f6z konusu d\u00fczenlemenin yaln\u0131zca H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131&#8217;ndaki ge\u00e7i\u015fleri yeniden ba\u015flatmay\u0131 de\u011fil, ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki ate\u015fkesi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmeyi ve n\u00fckleer m\u00fczakerelerin yeniden ba\u015flamas\u0131na zemin haz\u0131rlamay\u0131 ama\u00e7lad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<p>Buna kar\u015f\u0131n Umman k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131nda bir kargo gemisinin vurulmas\u0131n\u0131n, ticari gemi trafi\u011fine y\u00f6nelik g\u00fcvenlik risklerinin devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<p>Rapora g\u00f6re haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak Brent petrol g\u00fcn i\u00e7erisinde sert fiyat hareketleri ya\u015fad\u0131. Gemiye y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Brent petrol yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 3 y\u00fckselirken, anla\u015fman\u0131n yak\u0131n oldu\u011funa ili\u015fkin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar sonras\u0131nda yeniden 78 dolar seviyesine geriledi.<\/p>\n<p>Trive Yat\u0131r\u0131m, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli diplomatik ilerlemeyi olumlu kar\u015f\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ancak enerji arz\u0131na ili\u015fkin risk priminin tamamen ortadan kalkmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131&#8217;nda g\u00fcvenli ve kesintisiz ge\u00e7i\u015f sa\u011flanmadan petrol piyasas\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 istikrar\u0131n zor olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n, Umman ile gemiler i\u00e7in g\u00fcvenli ge\u00e7i\u015f koridorlar\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik teknik ve siyasi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde ilerleme sa\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n<p>Ancak nihai d\u00fczenlemenin kapsam\u0131 ve uygulama takviminin hen\u00fcz netle\u015fmedi\u011fi belirtilerek, bunun k\u0131sa vadede enerji arz\u0131na ili\u015fkin risk alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltabilece\u011fi ancak kal\u0131c\u0131 rahatlama i\u00e7in fiili normalle\u015fmenin g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi gerekti\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<p>Trive Yat\u0131r\u0131m, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n temmuz ay\u0131nda t\u00fcketici enflasyonunun ana e\u011filiminde gerileme tespit etti\u011fini, y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyondaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn de s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fini aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda sa\u011fl\u0131k ve ula\u015ft\u0131rma kalemlerinin ayl\u0131k enflasyona katk\u0131 verdi\u011fi, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k temel mal ve g\u0131da grubundaki daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn dezenflasyon s\u00fcrecini destekledi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde faiz kararlar\u0131nda man\u015fet enflasyondan ziyade \u00e7ekirdek g\u00f6stergeler, beklentiler ve fiyatlama davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 izlemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fi de\u011ferlendirmesine yer verildi.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda TCMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Fatih Karahan&#8217;\u0131n k\u00fcresel tedarik zincirlerindeki yeniden yap\u0131lanman\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin ihracat performans\u0131n\u0131 olumlu etkiledi\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki de\u011ferlendirmelerine de yer verildi.<\/p>\n<p>Jeopolitik riskler ve \u00fcretim a\u011flar\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fim sayesinde T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin Avrupa&#8217;ya yak\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u00fcretim kapasitesiyle yeni sipari\u015flerden daha fazla pay ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilirken, ihracattaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn cari dengeyi destekleyebilece\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<p>Citi&#8217;nin de\u011ferlendirmelerine de yer verilen raporda, temmuz enflasyonunun beklentilerin alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesine ra\u011fmen fiyat istikrar\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrecinin Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden daha zor ilerleyebilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Banka, \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 30, hizmet enflasyonunun ise y\u00fczde 40 seviyelerinde bulunmas\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekerken, g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131, enerji maliyetleri ve sonbaharda giyim fiyatlar\u0131nda olu\u015fabilecek bask\u0131y\u0131 temel risk unsurlar\u0131 olarak s\u0131ralad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Citi&#8217;nin 2026 y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahmini y\u00fczde 31,8 olurken, politika faizinin y\u0131l sonunda y\u00fczde 35 seviyesinde olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda HSBC&#8217;nin T\u00fcrkiye hisse senetleri i\u00e7in &#8220;a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k art\u0131r&#8221; tavsiyesini korudu\u011fu da belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>HSBC, Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n faiz indirimlerine eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcrken, Borsa \u0130stanbul&#8217;un \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 ay yatay bir seyir izledikten sonra y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendine girebilece\u011fini de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n<p>Banka ayr\u0131ca yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 pay\u0131n\u0131n son 10 y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 65&#8217;ten y\u00fczde 33&#8217;e geriledi\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekerek mevcut pozisyonlanman\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyede oldu\u011funu, Borsa \u0130stanbul&#8217;un 12 ayl\u0131k ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck 7,5 F\/K \u00e7arpan\u0131yla i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesinin de\u011ferleme a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyele i\u015faret etti\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>HSBC, savunma sanayii, yapay zeka altyap\u0131s\u0131na y\u00f6nelik transformat\u00f6r \u00fcretimi, b\u00f6lgesel yeniden yap\u0131lanma projeleri ve havac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan yat\u0131r\u0131m temalar\u0131 aras\u0131nda g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n<p>Trive Yat\u0131r\u0131m, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131&#8217;na ili\u015fkin diplomatik geli\u015fmelerin k\u0131sa vadede piyasalarda belirleyici olmaya devam edece\u011fini, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de ihracat g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn destekleyici seyrini korudu\u011funu, enflasyonda iyile\u015fme sinyalleri al\u0131nmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen temkinli duru\u015fun s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda ayr\u0131ca, yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 pay\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeler ve cazip de\u011ferlemeler nedeniyle Borsa \u0130stanbul&#8217;un y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde daha olumlu bir performans sergileyebilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendirmesi yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p> <strong><\/strong><br \/>\nEKONOM\u0130 GAZETES\u0130 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130stanbul, 5 A\u011fustos (Hibya) &#8211; Trive Yat\u0131r\u0131m, &#8220;Piyasa Notu&#8221;nda k\u00fcresel piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik diplomatik g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin bulundu\u011funu belirtirken, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde ihracat g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, enflasyon beklentileri ve Borsa \u0130stanbul&#8217;a ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelere de yer verdi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":127117,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow07ekDA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1,9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-127116","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","category-ekonomi","category-manset"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/127116","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=127116"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/127116\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/127117"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=127116"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=127116"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=127116"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}