{"id":109066,"date":"2026-07-03T11:15:11","date_gmt":"2026-07-03T08:15:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/07\/03\/haziran-enflasyonu-sonrasi-yil-sonu-tufe-tahmini-yuzde-2862ye-revize-edildi"},"modified":"2026-07-03T11:15:11","modified_gmt":"2026-07-03T08:15:11","slug":"haziran-enflasyonu-sonrasi-yil-sonu-tufe-tahmini-yuzde-2862ye-revize-edildi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/07\/03\/haziran-enflasyonu-sonrasi-yil-sonu-tufe-tahmini-yuzde-2862ye-revize-edildi\/","title":{"rendered":"Haziran enflasyonu sonras\u0131 y\u0131l sonu T\u00dcFE tahmini y\u00fczde 28,62\u2019ye revize edildi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Alnus Yat\u0131r\u0131m, T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu&#8217;nun (T\u00dc\u0130K) a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Haziran 2026 enflasyon verilerini de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fi raporunda, ayl\u0131k enflasyondaki yava\u015flaman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahminini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00fcncelledi.<\/p>\n<p>Rapora g\u00f6re, Haziran ay\u0131nda T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 0,99 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stererek son alt\u0131 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ayl\u0131k enflasyon verisi olarak kaydedildi. Y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon ise May\u0131s ay\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 32,61 seviyesinden y\u00fczde 32,11\u2019e geriledi.<\/p>\n<p>Haziran ay\u0131nda 13 ana harcama grubunun 11&#8217;inde fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131rken, en y\u00fcksek y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00fczde 3,46 ile alkoll\u00fc i\u00e7ecekler ve t\u00fct\u00fcn grubunda g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Bu grubu y\u00fczde 2,30 ile konut ve y\u00fczde 2,11 ile lokanta ve oteller izledi. Giyim ve ayakkab\u0131 ile ula\u015ft\u0131rma gruplar\u0131nda ise s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<p>Alnus Yat\u0131r\u0131m analizine g\u00f6re ayl\u0131k enflasyona en fazla katk\u0131y\u0131 konut, su, elektrik, gaz ve di\u011fer yak\u0131tlar grubu sa\u011flad\u0131. Mobilya ve ev ekipmanlar\u0131 ile alkoll\u00fc i\u00e7ecekler ve t\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fcr\u00fcnleri de enflasyondaki y\u00fckseli\u015fte etkili kalemler aras\u0131nda yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Alt harcama gruplar\u0131nda ise dikkat \u00e7ekici fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131. Haziran ay\u0131nda di\u011fer taze meyvelerde y\u00fczde 54,26, yumrulu sebzelerde y\u00fczde 44,55 ve taze turun\u00e7gillerde y\u00fczde 17,35 oran\u0131nda fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda, ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda sa\u011flanan mutabakat sonras\u0131nda petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 20\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn hen\u00fcz t\u00fcketici enflasyonuna yans\u0131mad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekildi. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki gerilemenin etkilerinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda daha belirgin hissedilebilece\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<p>Haziran verilerinin ard\u0131ndan Alnus Yat\u0131r\u0131m, 2026 y\u0131l sonu T\u00dcFE beklentisini y\u00fczde 29,00\u2019dan y\u00fczde 28,62\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Kurum ayr\u0131ca T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n (TCMB) 23 Temmuz&#8217;daki Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizini y\u00fczde 37 seviyesinde sabit b\u0131rakmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Raporda y\u0131l sonunda politika faizinin y\u00fczde 35 seviyesine gerileyebilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc de korundu.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan Yurt \u0130\u00e7i \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (Y\u0130-\u00dcFE) Haziran ay\u0131nda ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 1,80 artarken, y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00fcretici enflasyonu y\u00fczde 28,93\u2019ten y\u00fczde 28,09\u2019a geriledi.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dcretici fiyatlar\u0131nda en y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 8,30 ile madencilik ve ta\u015f ocak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, elektrik, gaz ve buhar ile enerji gruplar\u0131 da y\u00fckseli\u015fte \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Alnus Yat\u0131r\u0131m, enflasyondaki kademeli gerileme e\u011filiminin devam etti\u011fini belirtirken, enerji fiyatlar\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel geli\u015fmelerin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde fiyatlama davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 \u00fczerinde belirleyici olmaya devam edece\u011fine i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n<p> <strong><\/strong><br \/>\nEKONOM\u0130 GAZETES\u0130 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130stanbul, 3 Temmuz (Hibya) &#8211; Alnus Yat\u0131r\u0131m, T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu&#8217;nun (T\u00dc\u0130K) a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Haziran 2026 enflasyon verilerini de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fi raporunda, ayl\u0131k enflasyondaki yava\u015flaman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahminini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00fcncelledi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":109067,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow07ekDA:productID":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1,9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-109066","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","category-ekonomi","category-manset"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109066","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=109066"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109066\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/109067"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=109066"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=109066"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ekonomigundemi.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=109066"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}